Primera Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 31

Atlanta vs Agropecuario

1 – 0 Full time

16′F. Alvarez
32′R. Moreira
46′T. RojasP. Ostachuk
46′F. SanchezF. Perez
53′A. Gagliardi
60′J. PuchF. Bisanz
60′A. MoralesF. Castro
66′R. MosqueiraR. Castro
73′S. GallucciC. Auzqui
73′J. VegaO. Belinetz
78′I. RodriguezF. Romero
84′D. Ruiz DiazE. Aguirre
86′F. AlvarezG. Mendoza
Atlanta 48%
Draw 31%
Agropecuario 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Atlanta vs Agropecuario overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Atlanta vs Agropecuario

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAtlantaDrawAgropecuario
Model46.9%31.7%21.4%
Market48.5%30.5%21.0%
Final48.1%30.8%21.1%
Edge-1.6%+1.2%+0.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Atlanta

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.27 vs 0.78.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Atlanta ↓ / Agropecuario → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 9% 1 15% 14% 2 10% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 62%
3+ goals 34%
No goals 14%

Atlanta and Agropecuario expected goals

Atlanta 1.27
Agropecuario 0.78

Total expected goals: 2.05

Atlanta and Agropecuario attack and defence ratings

Atlanta

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Agropecuario

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Atlanta vs Agropecuario: result vs prediction

Atlanta 1 – 0 Agropecuario

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 31 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

Atlanta vs Agropecuario markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Atlanta 48.1% 2.08 -1.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 66.4% 1.51 — —
Both teams to score No 59.9% 1.67 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.9% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.1% 1.88 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Atlanta48.1%
Draw30.8%
Agropecuario21.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.533.6%
Under 2.566.4%
Both teams to scoreYes40.1%
No59.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.9%
12 (either side)69.2%
X2 (draw or away)51.9%
Handicap -1Atlanta win22.2%
Push (exactly one goal)24.7%
Loss53.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-015.2%
0-014.2%
1-114.0%

Atlanta vs Agropecuario stats

Atlanta and Agropecuario recent form

newest first
Atlanta DWWLLW
Agropecuario WLWDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Atlanta and Agropecuario going into this match

league record before kick-off

Atlanta record

  • They have won 15 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 14 clean sheets in 30 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 30 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

Agropecuario record

  • They have won 9 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.1 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 30 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 13 of 30 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 8 penalties (62%).

Atlanta vs Agropecuario head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

0Atlanta wins 2Draws 4Agropecuario wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-10AgropecuarioAtlantaPrimera Nacional0-0
2022-07-09AgropecuarioAtlantaPrimera Nacional1-0
2021-10-04AtlantaAgropecuarioPrimera Nacional0-3
2021-06-11AgropecuarioAtlantaPrimera Nacional1-0
2020-12-13AtlantaAgropecuarioPrimera Nacional2-3
2019-11-02AgropecuarioAtlantaPrimera Nacional2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Atlanta vs Agropecuario odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 48.5%, draw 30.5%, away 21.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.85 2.98 4.36
Bet365 1.90 3.10 4.50
BetVictor 1.90 3.10 4.50
Betano 1.88 3.10 4.45
Betfair 1.90 3.00 4.20
Marathonbet 1.83 2.98 4.25
Pinnacle 1.89 3.18 4.74
SBO 1.89 2.82 3.76
William Hill 1.95 2.90 4.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.89 ▼ -0.13
X 3.00 ▲ +0.10
2 4.36 ▲ +0.58

12 snapshots recorded, from .