Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 32
Atletico DE Rafaela
vs
Atlanta
2 – 3 Full time
| 1′ | A. Quintana | ||
| 25′ | M. Garcia | ||
| 41′ | F. Alvarez | ||
| 52′ | J. Bonifacio | ||
| 54′ | F. Jourdan | ||
| 57′ | A. Solveyra | ||
| 61′ | F. JourdanM. Moreno | ||
| 61′ | A. RodriguezM. Pardo | ||
| 65′ | D. ArguelloR. Sosa | ||
| 65′ | I. RodriguezA. Morales | ||
| 71′ | B. Rivero | ||
| 78′ | M. Moreno | ||
| 79′ | L. FloresF. Soloa | ||
| 79′ | L. MoscoloniJ. Cavallaro | ||
| 79′ | J. CapurroM. Quiroga | ||
| 81′ | F. AlvarezL. Galeano | ||
| 81′ | B. RiveroC. Bernardi | ||
| 81′ | L. Galeano | ||
| 88′ | A. MoralesG. Mendoza | ||
| 90′ | M. Quiroga |
Atletico DE Rafaela
37%
Draw
33%
Atlanta
30%
Atletico DE Rafaela vs Atlanta overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atletico DE Rafaela vs Atlanta
| Probability | Atletico DE Rafaela | Draw | Atlanta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.1% | 33.7% | 24.1% |
| Market | 35.1% | 32.8% | 32.0% |
| Final | 36.9% | 33.1% | 30.1% |
| Edge | +7.0% | +0.9% | -7.9% |
Why Atletico DE Rafaela
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.12 vs 0.78.
- The market prices Atletico DE Rafaela below the model: +7.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
84%
2+ goals
58%
3+ goals
30%
No goals
16%
Atletico DE Rafaela and Atlanta expected goals
Atletico DE Rafaela
1.12
Atlanta
0.78
Total expected goals: 1.90
Atletico DE Rafaela and Atlanta attack and defence ratings
Atletico DE Rafaela
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.15 +15%
Atlanta
Attack
0.96 -4%
Defence
0.98 -2%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Atletico DE Rafaela vs Atlanta: result vs prediction
Atletico DE Rafaela 2 – 3 Atlanta
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 32 fixtures
- Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Madryn — team news & stats
- Colon Santa Fe vs CA Estudiantes — team news & stats
- Temperley vs Gimnasia Jujuy
- Deportivo Moron v All Boys — match page
- Tristan Suarez vs Quilmes — team news & stats
- Acassuso vs Ciudad de Bolívar
- San Miguel vs Atletico Mitre — team news & stats
- Agropecuario vs Midland — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Atletico DE Rafaela vs Atlanta markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico DE Rafaela | 36.9% | 2.71 | +7.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico DE Rafaela | 36.9% |
| Draw | 33.1% | |
| Atlanta | 30.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 29.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 70.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.9% |
| No | 62.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Atletico DE Rafaela win | 18.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.8% | |
| Loss | 58.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 16.2% |
| 1-0 | 15.4% | |
| 1-1 | 14.4% |
Atletico DE Rafaela vs Atlanta stats
Atletico DE Rafaela and Atlanta recent form
| Atletico DE Rafaela |
LWLLWD |
| Atlanta |
WDWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Atletico DE Rafaela and Atlanta going into this match
Atletico DE Rafaela record
- They have won 11 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 15 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Atlanta record
- They have won 16 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 15 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Atletico DE Rafaela vs Atlanta head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
2Atletico DE Rafaela wins
2Draws
2Atlanta wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Atlanta | Atletico DE Rafaela | Primera Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2024-10-06 | Atletico DE Rafaela | Atlanta | Primera Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2024-05-19 | Atlanta | Atletico DE Rafaela | Primera Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2023-06-25 | Atletico DE Rafaela | Atlanta | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2023-02-21 | Atlanta | Atletico DE Rafaela | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2022-08-22 | Atlanta | Atletico DE Rafaela | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Atletico DE Rafaela vs Atlanta odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.1%, draw 32.8%, away 32.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.60 | 3.12 | 2.88 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 2.80 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.63 | 2.88 | 2.90 |
| Betano | 2.75 | 2.72 | 2.87 |
| Betfair | 2.55 | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.58 | 2.71 | 2.76 |
| Pinnacle | 2.71 | 2.86 | 3.03 |
| SBO | 2.49 | 2.68 | 2.66 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 2.80 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.62 ▲ +0.02
X
2.80 ▲ +0.14
2
2.87 ▼ -0.13
12 snapshots recorded, from .