Midland
vs
Atletico DE Rafaela
4 – 0 Full time
| 13′ | D. Bulacio | ||
| 25′ | F. Marin | ||
| 28′ | A. Rodriguez | ||
| 46′ | A. RodriguezM. Moreno | ||
| 68′ | N. CainelliM. Pardo | ||
| 70′ | J. PeralesD. Guzman | ||
| 70′ | R. LunaJ. Camano | ||
| 70′ | T. Rojas | ||
| 78′ | F. SoloaJ. Capurro | ||
| 78′ | F. MarinV. Madalon | ||
| 78′ | N. RamosL. Flores | ||
| 78′ | J. BonifacioM. Quiroga | ||
| 78′ | L. Recalde | ||
| 86′ | N. VioliniR. Cao | ||
| 86′ | D. BulacioM. Abruzzese | ||
| 90′ | M. Abruzzese |
Midland vs Atletico DE Rafaela overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Midland vs Atletico DE Rafaela
| Probability | Midland | Draw | Atletico DE Rafaela |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.8% | 26.0% | 16.2% |
| Market | 51.6% | 30.6% | 17.8% |
| Final | 53.2% | 29.5% | 17.4% |
| Edge | +1.6% | -1.2% | -0.4% |
Why Midland
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 0.80.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Midland and Atletico DE Rafaela expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.50
Midland and Atletico DE Rafaela attack and defence ratings
Midland
Atletico DE Rafaela
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Midland vs Atletico DE Rafaela: result vs prediction
Midland 4 – 0 Atletico DE Rafaela
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 33 fixtures
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- Deportivo Madryn vs Chaco For Ever — team news & stats
- Atlanta v San Martin Tucuman — match page
- Defensores De Belgrano v Acassuso — match page
- CA Estudiantes vs Deportivo Moron
- Almirante Brown vs San Miguel
Before and after this match
Midland vs Atletico DE Rafaela markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Midland | 53.2% | 1.88 | +1.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Midland | 53.2% |
| Draw | 29.5% | |
| Atletico DE Rafaela | 17.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.1% |
| No | 53.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Midland win | 33.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.7% | |
| Loss | 42.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 12.8% |
| 1-1 | 12.3% | |
| 2-0 | 11.9% |
Midland vs Atletico DE Rafaela stats
Midland and Atletico DE Rafaela recent form
| Midland |
DLWWLL |
| Atletico DE Rafaela |
LLWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Midland and Atletico DE Rafaela going into this match
Midland record
- They have won 13 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 32 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atletico DE Rafaela record
- They have won 11 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 15 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 32 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Midland vs Atletico DE Rafaela head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Atletico DE Rafaela | Midland | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Midland vs Atletico DE Rafaela odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 51.6%, draw 30.6%, away 17.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.75 | 2.95 | 5.10 |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 3.10 | 5.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.00 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.80 | 3.00 | 5.30 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.00 | 4.75 |
| Dafabet | 1.80 | 3.15 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.67 | 3.04 | 5.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78 | 3.26 | 5.37 |
| SBO | 1.78 | 2.83 | 4.32 |
| William Hill | 1.80 | 2.90 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .