San Martin Tucuman
vs
Midland
3 – 2 Full time
| 10′ | M. VeronD. Diellos | ||
| 30′ | A. CisneroA. Veliez | ||
| 31′ | I. Andrada | ||
| 35′ | A. Graneros | ||
| 57′ | G. Cepeda | ||
| 61′ | S. BrinoneN. Castro | ||
| 61′ | G. CarabajalL. Arfaras | ||
| 61′ | A. GranerosM. Garcia | ||
| 66′ | J. PeralesD. Guzman | ||
| 66′ | R. LunaM. Flores | ||
| 74′ | J. CamanoL. Diaz Laharque | ||
| 76′ | V. Salazar | ||
| 78′ | M. Garcia | ||
| 85′ | B. Cabrera | ||
| 89′ | I. AndradaM. Penepil | ||
| 89′ | D. BulacioR. Cao | ||
| 90′ | B. Cabrera | ||
| 90′ | B. Cabrera | ||
| 90′ | L. Arfaras |
San Martin Tucuman vs Midland overview
Garuda Lions analysis: San Martin Tucuman vs Midland
| Probability | San Martin Tucuman | Draw | Midland |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.2% | 28.7% | 34.1% |
| Market | 43.1% | 32.6% | 24.2% |
| Final | 41.7% | 31.6% | 26.7% |
| Edge | -1.5% | -1.0% | +2.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
San Martin Tucuman and Midland expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.62
San Martin Tucuman and Midland attack and defence ratings
San Martin Tucuman
Midland
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
San Martin Tucuman vs Midland: result vs prediction
San Martin Tucuman 3 – 2 Midland
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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Before and after this match
San Martin Tucuman vs Midland markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San Martin Tucuman | 41.7% | 2.40 | -1.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San Martin Tucuman | 41.7% |
| Draw | 31.6% | |
| Midland | 26.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.7% |
| No | 45.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | San Martin Tucuman win | 17.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 62.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 1-0 | 8.5% | |
| 0-0 | 8.5% |
San Martin Tucuman vs Midland stats
San Martin Tucuman and Midland recent form
| San Martin Tucuman |
LWDLWL |
| Midland |
WDLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
San Martin Tucuman and Midland going into this match
San Martin Tucuman record
- They have won 10 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 33 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Midland record
- They have won 14 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 15 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
San Martin Tucuman vs Midland head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Midland | San Martin Tucuman | Primera Nacional | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
San Martin Tucuman vs Midland odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.0%, draw 32.4%, away 24.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.05 | 2.81 | 3.81 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 2.80 | 3.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 2.90 | 3.75 |
| Betano | 2.18 | 2.85 | 3.70 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 2.88 | 3.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.18 | 2.85 | 3.75 |
| Marathonbet | 2.03 | 2.81 | 3.70 |
| Pinnacle | 2.18 | 2.91 | 4.05 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 2.75 | 3.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .