Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 34
Colon Santa Fe
vs
Almirante Brown
2 – 2 Full time
| 10′ | M. Peinipil | ||
| 17′ | G. Cabral | ||
| 42′ | M. Munoz | ||
| 46′ | D. SarmientoC. Ibarra | ||
| 62′ | M. ZanottiE. Martinez | ||
| 63′ | J. MarcioniL. Garate | ||
| 63′ | S. OlmedoZ. Ibarra | ||
| 66′ | F. Rasmussen | ||
| 68′ | G. Alegre Rojas | ||
| 71′ | M. SantiagoS. Villalba | ||
| 71′ | M. AbrelianoG. Moreyra | ||
| 77′ | L. Garate | ||
| 77′ | E. Cardozo | ||
| 79′ | P. Velurtas | ||
| 80′ | Almirante Brown | ||
| 83′ | T. VilloldoM. Levi | ||
| 83′ | L. PascualL. Jara | ||
| 84′ | L. GarateJ. Buosi | ||
| 87′ | I. Lago | ||
| 89′ | A. ToledoP. Barrios | ||
| 90′ | E. Martinez |
Colon Santa Fe
54%
Draw
30%
Almirante Brown
16%
Colon Santa Fe vs Almirante Brown overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Colon Santa Fe vs Almirante Brown
| Probability | Colon Santa Fe | Draw | Almirante Brown |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.4% | 33.9% | 14.7% |
| Market | 54.5% | 29.1% | 16.4% |
| Final | 53.7% | 30.3% | 16.0% |
| Edge | -0.8% | +1.2% | -0.4% |
Why Colon Santa Fe
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.16 vs 0.50.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
80%
2+ goals
50%
3+ goals
23%
No goals
20%
Colon Santa Fe and Almirante Brown expected goals
Colon Santa Fe
1.16
Almirante Brown
0.50
Total expected goals: 1.66
Colon Santa Fe and Almirante Brown attack and defence ratings
Colon Santa Fe
Attack
1.08 +8%
Defence
0.75 -25%
Almirante Brown
Attack
0.93 -7%
Defence
0.94 -6%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Colon Santa Fe vs Almirante Brown: result vs prediction
Colon Santa Fe 2 – 2 Almirante Brown
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 34 fixtures
- Atletico DE Rafaela vs Quilmes — team news & stats
- Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta — team news & stats
- Chacarita Juniors v Deportivo Maipu — match page
- Agropecuario v Colegiales — match page
- Acassuso vs Deportivo Madryn
- San Miguel vs Ciudad de Bolívar — team news & stats
- Tristan Suarez vs Patronato — team news & stats
- Deportivo Moron vs Atletico Mitre
Before and after this match
Colon Santa Fe vs Almirante Brown markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colon Santa Fe | 53.7% | 1.86 | -0.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.0% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colon Santa Fe | 53.7% |
| Draw | 30.3% | |
| Almirante Brown | 16.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 23.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 76.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 28.0% |
| No | 72.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Colon Santa Fe win | 23.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 28.0% | |
| Loss | 48.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 21.0% |
| 0-0 | 20.2% | |
| 2-0 | 12.8% |
Colon Santa Fe vs Almirante Brown stats
Colon Santa Fe and Almirante Brown recent form
| Colon Santa Fe |
DWDWLL |
| Almirante Brown |
DLLLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Colon Santa Fe and Almirante Brown going into this match
Colon Santa Fe record
- They have won 14 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 15 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Almirante Brown record
- They have won 12 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 18 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Colon Santa Fe vs Almirante Brown head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
2Colon Santa Fe wins
2Draws
1Almirante Brown wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Almirante Brown | Colon Santa Fe | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2025-07-13 | Colon Santa Fe | Almirante Brown | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-03-10 | Almirante Brown | Colon Santa Fe | Primera Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2024-07-07 | Almirante Brown | Colon Santa Fe | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2024-02-18 | Colon Santa Fe | Almirante Brown | Primera Nacional | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Colon Santa Fe vs Almirante Brown odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.1%, draw 29.0%, away 16.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.68 | 3.14 | 5.19 |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 3.20 | 6.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 3.25 | 5.75 |
| Betano | 1.70 | 3.15 | 5.60 |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.72 | 3.30 | 5.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.66 | 3.14 | 5.05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.72 | 3.37 | 5.71 |
| SBO | 1.63 | 2.95 | 4.59 |
| William Hill | 1.70 | 3.10 | 5.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.69 ▼ -0.06
X
3.17 ▲ +0.05
2
5.61 ▲ +0.68
10 snapshots recorded, from .