San Miguel
vs
Ciudad de Bolívar
1 – 2 Full time
San Miguel vs Ciudad de Bolívar overview
Garuda Lions analysis: San Miguel vs Ciudad de Bolívar
| Probability | San Miguel | Draw | Ciudad de Bolívar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.1% | 35.0% | 32.9% |
| Market | 41.0% | 33.5% | 25.5% |
| Final | 38.7% | 33.9% | 27.4% |
| Edge | -8.8% | +1.5% | +7.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
San Miguel and Ciudad de Bolívar expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.86
San Miguel and Ciudad de Bolívar attack and defence ratings
San Miguel
Ciudad de Bolívar
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
San Miguel vs Ciudad de Bolívar: result vs prediction
San Miguel 1 – 2 Ciudad de Bolívar
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
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Before and after this match
San Miguel vs Ciudad de Bolívar markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San Miguel | 38.7% | 2.58 | -8.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San Miguel | 38.7% |
| Draw | 33.9% | |
| Ciudad de Bolívar | 27.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 28.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 71.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.9% |
| No | 62.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | San Miguel win | 11.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 67.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 17.0% |
| 1-1 | 14.8% | |
| 0-1 | 13.3% |
San Miguel vs Ciudad de Bolívar stats
San Miguel and Ciudad de Bolívar recent form
| San Miguel |
DLLDDL |
| Ciudad de Bolívar |
WWWLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
San Miguel and Ciudad de Bolívar going into this match
San Miguel record
- They have won 6 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 33 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Ciudad de Bolívar record
- They have won 12 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 16 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
San Miguel vs Ciudad de Bolívar head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Ciudad de Bolívar | San Miguel | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
San Miguel vs Ciudad de Bolívar odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.0%, draw 33.5%, away 25.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.17 | 2.65 | 3.73 |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.15 | 2.65 | 3.62 |
| Pinnacle | 2.25 | 2.85 | 3.94 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 2.70 | 3.60 |