Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 34
Deportivo Moron
vs
Atletico Mitre
0 – 2 Full time
| 34′ | Y. Cabral | ||
| 46′ | E. LazzaJ. Esquivel | ||
| 64′ | M. MaldonadoM. Ferrari | ||
| 64′ | F. TolozaJ. Zappacosta | ||
| 64′ | E. ContrerasE. Iniguez | ||
| 70′ | G. Berterame | ||
| 71′ | M. BurruchagaV. Huertas | ||
| 76′ | Y. CabralS. Rosales | ||
| 76′ | O. GarridoLillo | ||
| 76′ | G. BerterameM. Benitez | ||
| 83′ | M. MachadoF. J. Gorla | ||
| 83′ | M. VazquezL. Correa | ||
| 90′ | F. J. Gorla |
Deportivo Moron
56%
Draw
28%
Atletico Mitre
16%
Deportivo Moron vs Atletico Mitre overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Moron vs Atletico Mitre
| Probability | Deportivo Moron | Draw | Atletico Mitre |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.2% | 25.3% | 14.4% |
| Market | 54.8% | 28.8% | 16.4% |
| Final | 56.1% | 28.0% | 15.9% |
| Edge | +1.4% | -0.9% | -0.5% |
Why Deportivo Moron
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.74 vs 0.74.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
72%
3+ goals
45%
No goals
9%
Deportivo Moron and Atletico Mitre expected goals
Deportivo Moron
1.74
Atletico Mitre
0.74
Total expected goals: 2.48
Deportivo Moron and Atletico Mitre attack and defence ratings
Deportivo Moron
Attack
1.45 +45%
Defence
1.32 +32%
Atletico Mitre
Attack
0.79 -21%
Defence
1.05 +5%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Deportivo Moron vs Atletico Mitre: result vs prediction
Deportivo Moron 0 – 2 Atletico Mitre
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 34 fixtures
- Atletico DE Rafaela vs Quilmes — team news & stats
- Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta — team news & stats
- Chacarita Juniors v Deportivo Maipu — match page
- Agropecuario v Colegiales — match page
- Acassuso vs Deportivo Madryn
- San Miguel vs Ciudad de Bolívar — team news & stats
- Tristan Suarez vs Patronato — team news & stats
- Colon Santa Fe vs Almirante Brown — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Deportivo Moron vs Atletico Mitre markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Moron | 56.1% | 1.78 | +1.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.1% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.8% | 2.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Moron | 56.1% |
| Draw | 28.0% | |
| Atletico Mitre | 15.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.2% |
| No | 55.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Moron win | 35.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.1% | |
| Loss | 39.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 13.5% |
| 2-0 | 12.7% | |
| 1-1 | 11.9% |
Deportivo Moron vs Atletico Mitre stats
Deportivo Moron and Atletico Mitre recent form
| Deportivo Moron |
LWLLWW |
| Atletico Mitre |
DWLLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Deportivo Moron and Atletico Mitre going into this match
Deportivo Moron record
- They have won 17 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 8 of 8 penalties (100%).
Atletico Mitre record
- They have won 7 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 33 matches.
Deportivo Moron vs Atletico Mitre head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
3Deportivo Moron wins
4Draws
2Atletico Mitre wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Atletico Mitre | Deportivo Moron | Primera Nacional | 1-3 |
| 2025-09-28 | Deportivo Moron | Atletico Mitre | Primera Nacional | 3-0 |
| 2025-05-25 | Atletico Mitre | Deportivo Moron | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2024-09-22 | Deportivo Moron | Atletico Mitre | Primera Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2024-05-04 | Atletico Mitre | Deportivo Moron | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2022-09-18 | Deportivo Moron | Atletico Mitre | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2019-10-14 | Atletico Mitre | Deportivo Moron | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2018-12-11 | Atletico Mitre | Deportivo Moron | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2018-03-10 | Deportivo Moron | Atletico Mitre | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Deportivo Moron vs Atletico Mitre odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 56.1%, draw 28.2%, away 15.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.62 | 3.20 | 5.69 |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 3.10 | 5.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 3.30 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.60 | 3.25 | 6.80 |
| Betfair | 1.60 | 3.10 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.59 | 3.40 | 6.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.60 | 3.20 | 5.55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.70 | 3.33 | 5.96 |
| SBO | 1.52 | 3.02 | 5.51 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.10 | 5.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.69 ▲ +0.09
X
3.20 ▼ -0.02
2
5.62 ▼ -0.18
12 snapshots recorded, from .