Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 34
Chacarita Juniors
vs
Deportivo Maipu
1 – 0 Full time
Chacarita Juniors
42%
Draw
33%
Deportivo Maipu
25%
Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu
| Probability | Chacarita Juniors | Draw | Deportivo Maipu |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.7% | 35.7% | 31.6% |
| Market | 45.0% | 32.2% | 22.8% |
| Final | 41.9% | 33.1% | 25.0% |
| Edge | -12.3% | +3.5% | +8.8% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
82%
2+ goals
55%
3+ goals
27%
No goals
18%
Chacarita Juniors and Deportivo Maipu expected goals
Chacarita Juniors
0.90
Deportivo Maipu
0.88
Total expected goals: 1.78
Chacarita Juniors and Deportivo Maipu attack and defence ratings
Chacarita Juniors
Attack
0.91 -9%
Defence
1.10 +10%
Deportivo Maipu
Attack
1.13 +13%
Defence
0.86 -14%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu: result vs prediction
Chacarita Juniors 1 – 0 Deportivo Maipu
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 34 fixtures
- Atletico DE Rafaela vs Quilmes — team news & stats
- Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta — team news & stats
- Agropecuario v Colegiales — match page
- Acassuso vs Deportivo Madryn
- San Miguel vs Ciudad de Bolívar — team news & stats
- Tristan Suarez vs Patronato — team news & stats
- Colon Santa Fe vs Almirante Brown — team news & stats
- Deportivo Moron vs Atletico Mitre
Before and after this match
Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chacarita Juniors | 41.9% | 2.39 | -12.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chacarita Juniors | 41.9% |
| Draw | 33.1% | |
| Deportivo Maipu | 25.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 26.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 73.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.2% |
| No | 63.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Chacarita Juniors win | 12.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 67.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 18.1% |
| 1-1 | 14.7% | |
| 1-0 | 13.8% |
Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu stats
Chacarita Juniors and Deportivo Maipu recent form
| Chacarita Juniors |
LWLWLL |
| Deportivo Maipu |
DWWDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Chacarita Juniors and Deportivo Maipu going into this match
Chacarita Juniors record
- They have won 9 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.1 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 16 of 33 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo Maipu record
- They have won 13 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 33 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
5Chacarita Juniors wins
1Draws
3Deportivo Maipu wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Deportivo Maipu | Chacarita Juniors | Primera Nacional | 3-2 |
| 2024-06-23 | Deportivo Maipu | Chacarita Juniors | Primera Nacional | 0-2 |
| 2024-02-03 | Chacarita Juniors | Deportivo Maipu | Primera Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2023-07-02 | Chacarita Juniors | Deportivo Maipu | Primera Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2023-02-26 | Deportivo Maipu | Chacarita Juniors | Primera Nacional | 0-2 |
| 2022-04-17 | Deportivo Maipu | Chacarita Juniors | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2021-10-02 | Chacarita Juniors | Deportivo Maipu | Primera Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2021-06-10 | Deportivo Maipu | Chacarita Juniors | Primera Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2018-05-15 | Chacarita Juniors | Deportivo Maipu | Copa Argentina | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.0%, draw 32.2%, away 22.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.96 | 2.84 | 4.10 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 2.88 | 4.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 2.07 | 2.80 | 4.10 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 2.90 | 4.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.04 | 2.95 | 4.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.94 | 2.84 | 3.98 |
| Pinnacle | 2.12 | 2.96 | 4.13 |
| SBO | 1.96 | 2.68 | 3.50 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 2.75 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.05 —
X
2.86 ▼ -0.02
2
4.05 ▲ +0.25
12 snapshots recorded, from .