Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 34
Tristan Suarez
vs
Patronato
1 – 0 Full time
| 11′ | S. Piccioni | ||
| 25′ | D. Becker | ||
| 40′ | F. Meritello | ||
| 46′ | S. PiccioniF. Moreyra | ||
| 46′ | J. P. BarinagaT. Attis | ||
| 46′ | R. ReynagaA. Miro | ||
| 61′ | F. Evangelista | ||
| 69′ | R. Conechny | ||
| 72′ | R. ConechnyN. Sanchez | ||
| 72′ | D. BeckerS. Ramirez | ||
| 73′ | V. L. PereyraH. Rivero | ||
| 80′ | J. BeronA. Berrondo | ||
| 85′ | T. Attis | ||
| 86′ | J. Salas | ||
| 87′ | N. Sanchez | ||
| 88′ | A. MiroG. Salega | ||
| 90′ | N. FernandezD. Mastrangelo | ||
| 90′ | A. Baldi |
Tristan Suarez
51%
Draw
33%
Patronato
17%
Tristan Suarez vs Patronato overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tristan Suarez vs Patronato
| Probability | Tristan Suarez | Draw | Patronato |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.2% | 37.3% | 12.6% |
| Market | 50.6% | 31.2% | 18.2% |
| Final | 50.5% | 32.7% | 16.8% |
| Edge | -0.1% | +1.5% | -1.4% |
Why Tristan Suarez
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.01 vs 0.38.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
74%
2+ goals
41%
3+ goals
16%
No goals
26%
Tristan Suarez and Patronato expected goals
Tristan Suarez
1.01
Patronato
0.38
Total expected goals: 1.39
Tristan Suarez and Patronato attack and defence ratings
Tristan Suarez
Attack
0.91 -9%
Defence
0.44 -56%
Patronato
Attack
1.19 +19%
Defence
0.96 -4%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Tristan Suarez vs Patronato: result vs prediction
Tristan Suarez 1 – 0 Patronato
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 34 fixtures
- Atletico DE Rafaela vs Quilmes — team news & stats
- Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta — team news & stats
- Chacarita Juniors v Deportivo Maipu — match page
- Agropecuario v Colegiales — match page
- Acassuso vs Deportivo Madryn
- San Miguel vs Ciudad de Bolívar — team news & stats
- Colon Santa Fe vs Almirante Brown — team news & stats
- Deportivo Moron vs Atletico Mitre
Before and after this match
Tristan Suarez vs Patronato markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tristan Suarez | 50.5% | 1.98 | -0.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 83.7% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 79.2% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.2% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tristan Suarez | 50.5% |
| Draw | 32.7% | |
| Patronato | 16.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 16.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 83.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 20.8% |
| No | 79.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tristan Suarez win | 20.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 29.4% | |
| Loss | 49.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 25.9% |
| 1-0 | 24.3% | |
| 2-0 | 12.8% |
Tristan Suarez vs Patronato stats
Tristan Suarez and Patronato recent form
| Tristan Suarez |
DDWDDD |
| Patronato |
WLWDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tristan Suarez and Patronato going into this match
Tristan Suarez record
- They have won 15 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 23 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Patronato record
- They have won 7 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 16 of 33 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Tristan Suarez vs Patronato head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
1Tristan Suarez wins
1Draws
3Patronato wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Patronato | Tristan Suarez | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2025-07-06 | Patronato | Tristan Suarez | Primera Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2025-03-01 | Tristan Suarez | Patronato | Primera Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2024-07-07 | Patronato | Tristan Suarez | Primera Nacional | 3-0 |
| 2024-02-17 | Tristan Suarez | Patronato | Primera Nacional | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Tristan Suarez vs Patronato odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.5%, draw 31.1%, away 18.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.82 | 2.88 | 4.79 |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 3.20 | 5.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 3.10 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.85 | 2.92 | 5.10 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.84 | 3.05 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.80 | 2.88 | 4.65 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 3.00 | 5.30 |
| SBO | 1.82 | 2.69 | 4.08 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 2.80 | 4.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.81 —
X
2.94 ▼ -0.06
2
5.04 ▲ +0.14
12 snapshots recorded, from .