Patronato
vs
Agropecuario
0 – 2 Full time
| 2′ | F. Perez | ||
| 2′ | V. L. Pereyra | ||
| 16′ | S. Gallucci | ||
| 26′ | J. Vega | ||
| 31′ | F. Meritello | ||
| 46′ | S. GallucciR. Castro | ||
| 46′ | A. MiroB. Bravo | ||
| 54′ | R. Castro | ||
| 56′ | F. SoldanoR. Reynaga | ||
| 56′ | H. RiveroT. Attis | ||
| 56′ | A. PiccoB. Cortes | ||
| 69′ | B. Aranda | ||
| 72′ | J. VegaN. Pereyra | ||
| 72′ | R. MosqueiraD. Ruiz Diaz | ||
| 73′ | V. L. PereyraG. Salega | ||
| 79′ | R. Reynaga | ||
| 84′ | F. PerezF. Sanchez | ||
| 90′ | D. Ruiz Diaz |
Patronato vs Agropecuario overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Patronato vs Agropecuario
| Probability | Patronato | Draw | Agropecuario |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.3% | 30.9% | 14.9% |
| Market | 52.7% | 28.4% | 19.0% |
| Final | 53.1% | 29.0% | 18.0% |
| Edge | +0.4% | +0.6% | -1.0% |
Why Patronato
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.33 vs 0.57.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Patronato and Agropecuario expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.90
Patronato and Agropecuario attack and defence ratings
Patronato
Agropecuario
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Patronato vs Agropecuario: result vs prediction
Patronato 0 – 2 Agropecuario
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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Before and after this match
Patronato vs Agropecuario markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Patronato | 53.1% | 1.88 | +0.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Patronato | 53.1% |
| Draw | 29.0% | |
| Agropecuario | 18.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 29.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 70.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33.2% |
| No | 66.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Patronato win | 27.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.3% | |
| Loss | 45.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 18.7% |
| 0-0 | 16.0% | |
| 2-0 | 13.2% |
Patronato vs Agropecuario stats
Patronato and Agropecuario recent form
| LWLWDD | |
| LWDLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Patronato and Agropecuario going into this match
Patronato record
- They have won 7 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 17 of 34 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Agropecuario record
- They have won 10 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 16 of 34 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 8 penalties (62%).
Patronato vs Agropecuario head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | Agropecuario | Patronato | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2024-06-23 | Patronato | Agropecuario | Primera Nacional | 4-0 |
| 2024-02-02 | Agropecuario | Patronato | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2023-10-16 | Patronato | Agropecuario | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2023-06-03 | Agropecuario | Patronato | Primera Nacional | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Patronato vs Agropecuario odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.7%, draw 28.3%, away 19.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.74 | 3.16 | 4.67 |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 3.30 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 3.30 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.78 | 3.25 | 4.85 |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 3.25 | 4.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.76 | 3.35 | 4.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.72 | 3.16 | 4.55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78 | 3.39 | 5.07 |
| SBO | 1.60 | 3.06 | 4.65 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.10 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .