Primera Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 35

Patronato vs Agropecuario

0 – 2 Full time

2′F. Perez
2′V. L. Pereyra
16′S. Gallucci
26′J. Vega
31′F. Meritello
46′S. GallucciR. Castro
46′A. MiroB. Bravo
54′R. Castro
56′F. SoldanoR. Reynaga
56′H. RiveroT. Attis
56′A. PiccoB. Cortes
69′B. Aranda
72′J. VegaN. Pereyra
72′R. MosqueiraD. Ruiz Diaz
73′V. L. PereyraG. Salega
79′R. Reynaga
84′F. PerezF. Sanchez
90′D. Ruiz Diaz
Patronato 53%
Draw 29%
Agropecuario 18%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Patronato vs Agropecuario overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Patronato vs Agropecuario

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPatronatoDrawAgropecuario
Model54.3%30.9%14.9%
Market52.7%28.4%19.0%
Final53.1%29.0%18.0%
Edge+0.4%+0.6%-1.0%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Patronato

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.33 vs 0.57.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Patronato ↓ / Agropecuario → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 16% 1 19% 12% 2 13% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 84%
2+ goals 58%
3+ goals 30%
No goals 16%

Patronato and Agropecuario expected goals

Patronato 1.33
Agropecuario 0.57

Total expected goals: 1.90

Patronato and Agropecuario attack and defence ratings

Patronato

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Agropecuario

Attack 0.82 -18%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Patronato vs Agropecuario: result vs prediction

Patronato 0 – 2 Agropecuario

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 35 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

Patronato vs Agropecuario markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Patronato 53.1% 1.88 +0.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 70.3% 1.42 — —
Both teams to score No 66.8% 1.50 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 82.0% 1.22 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 45.7% 2.19 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Patronato53.1%
Draw29.0%
Agropecuario18.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.529.7%
Under 2.570.3%
Both teams to scoreYes33.2%
No66.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)82.0%
12 (either side)71.0%
X2 (draw or away)46.9%
Handicap -1Patronato win27.0%
Push (exactly one goal)27.3%
Loss45.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-018.7%
0-016.0%
2-013.2%

Patronato vs Agropecuario stats

Patronato and Agropecuario recent form

newest first
Patronato LWLWDD
Agropecuario LWDLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Patronato and Agropecuario going into this match

league record before kick-off

Patronato record

  • They have won 7 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 34 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 17 of 34 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Agropecuario record

  • They have won 10 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 34 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 16 of 34 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 8 penalties (62%).

Patronato vs Agropecuario head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1Patronato wins 2Draws 2Agropecuario wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-07AgropecuarioPatronatoPrimera Nacional1-1
2024-06-23PatronatoAgropecuarioPrimera Nacional4-0
2024-02-02AgropecuarioPatronatoPrimera Nacional1-0
2023-10-16PatronatoAgropecuarioPrimera Nacional1-1
2023-06-03AgropecuarioPatronatoPrimera Nacional2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Patronato vs Agropecuario odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 52.7%, draw 28.3%, away 19.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.74 3.16 4.67
Bet365 1.73 3.30 5.00
BetVictor 1.75 3.30 5.00
Betano 1.78 3.25 4.85
Betfair 1.73 3.25 4.60
Dafabet 1.76 3.35 4.90
Marathonbet 1.72 3.16 4.55
Pinnacle 1.78 3.39 5.07
SBO 1.60 3.06 4.65
William Hill 1.75 3.10 4.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.75 ▲ +0.04
X 3.25 —
2 4.85 ▲ +0.05

13 snapshots recorded, from .