Primera Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 35

Ferro Carril Oeste vs Chaco For Ever

0 – 3 Full time

1′M. S. Romero
23′D. Valdez
42′L. Mihovilcevich
44′A. Gonzalez
45′M. Diaz Chaves
46′N. RenieroE. Dening
46′G. CastellaniL. Marra
61′A. Ojeda
63′B. NievasS. Valenzuela
63′M. Diaz ChavesA. Lioi
63′A. OjedaL. Pruzzo
66′M. KabalinN. Gomez
72′L. ParisiF. Garcia
72′F. ObradovichT. Esidin
74′M. S. Romero
82′J. CarrizoM. Tevez
85′G. Canto
85′L. FernandezJ. Cerrudo

Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry, Buenos Aires

Ferro Carril Oeste 58%
Draw 27%
Chaco For Ever 15%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Ferro Carril Oeste vs Chaco For Ever overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Ferro Carril Oeste vs Chaco For Ever

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFerro Carril OesteDrawChaco For Ever
Model42.6%33.4%24.0%
Market63.3%24.8%11.9%
Final58.1%27.0%14.9%
Edge-5.2%+2.2%+3.0%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Ferro Carril Oeste

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.14 vs 0.79.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Ferro Carril O ↓ / Chaco For Ever → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 16% 10% 1 15% 14% 2 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 84%
2+ goals 59%
3+ goals 30%
No goals 16%

Ferro Carril Oeste and Chaco For Ever expected goals

Ferro Carril Oeste 1.14
Chaco For Ever 0.79

Total expected goals: 1.93

Ferro Carril Oeste and Chaco For Ever attack and defence ratings

Ferro Carril Oeste

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Chaco For Ever

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Ferro Carril Oeste vs Chaco For Ever: result vs prediction

Ferro Carril Oeste 0 – 3 Chaco For Ever

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 35 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

Ferro Carril Oeste vs Chaco For Ever markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Ferro Carril Oeste 58.1% 1.72 -5.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 69.5% 1.44 — —
Both teams to score No 61.5% 1.63 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 85.1% 1.18 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.4% 1.74 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Ferro Carril Oeste58.1%
Draw27.0%
Chaco For Ever14.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.530.5%
Under 2.569.5%
Both teams to scoreYes38.5%
No61.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)85.1%
12 (either side)73.0%
X2 (draw or away)41.9%
Handicap -1Ferro Carril Oeste win18.7%
Push (exactly one goal)23.9%
Loss57.4%
Correct score (top 3)0-015.8%
1-015.2%
1-114.4%

Ferro Carril Oeste vs Chaco For Ever stats

Ferro Carril Oeste and Chaco For Ever recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Ferro Carril Oeste and Chaco For Ever going into this match

league record before kick-off

Ferro Carril Oeste record

  • They have won 19 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 16 clean sheets in 34 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 34 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Chaco For Ever record

  • They have won 10 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 34 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 34 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 7 penalties (71%).

Ferro Carril Oeste vs Chaco For Ever head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

2Ferro Carril Oeste wins 1Draws 1Chaco For Ever wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-07Chaco For EverFerro Carril OestePrimera Nacional1-2
2023-08-27Chaco For EverFerro Carril OestePrimera Nacional4-2
2023-04-16Ferro Carril OesteChaco For EverPrimera Nacional2-1
2022-06-27Ferro Carril OesteChaco For EverPrimera Nacional0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Ferro Carril Oeste vs Chaco For Ever odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 63.3%, draw 24.7%, away 12.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.43 3.62 7.70
Bet365 1.48 3.50 9.00
BetVictor 1.45 3.75 8.50
Betano 1.47 3.70 7.60
Betfair 1.44 3.75 7.00
Dafabet 1.46 3.85 8.00
Marathonbet 1.42 3.62 7.30
Pinnacle 1.47 4.00 8.09
SBO 1.43 3.28 6.09
William Hill 1.44 3.70 7.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.45 ▼ -0.05
X 3.70 ▲ +0.25
2 7.70 ▲ +1.20

11 snapshots recorded, from .