Acassuso
vs
Ferro Carril Oeste
Garuda Lions Prediction: Ferro Carril Oeste
0 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Ferro Carril Oeste is the favourite, not a value bet.
Acassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Acassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste
| Probability | Acassuso | Draw | Ferro Carril Oeste |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.0% | 36.5% | 15.5% |
| Market | 18.2% | 27.5% | 54.3% |
| Final | 25.6% | 29.7% | 44.6% |
| Edge | +7.5% | +2.2% | -9.7% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.72, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -23.2% per unit staked (our 44.6% × 1.72 − 1).
Acassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste match preview
In the upcoming match between Acassuso and Ferro Carril Oeste, the probabilities indicate a competitive encounter, with Ferro Carril Oeste holding a 45% chance of winning compared to Acassuso's 26% and a 30% likelihood of a draw. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 0-1 in favor of Ferro Carril Oeste, which aligns with their recent form, where they have secured two wins in their last three matches.
Acassuso's recent performance shows a mixed bag with two draws and three wins in their last six games, while Ferro Carril Oeste has also shown resilience with two wins in their last three outings. Expected goals suggest Acassuso may generate 1.04 while Ferro Carril Oeste is forecasted to score 0.47, indicating a potential struggle for the visitors in finding the back of the net.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Acassuso and Ferro Carril Oeste expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.51
Acassuso and Ferro Carril Oeste attack and defence ratings
Acassuso
Ferro Carril Oeste
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 36 fixtures
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- Colon Santa Fe vs Defensores De Belgrano — team news & stats
- San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy
- Agropecuario v Almagro — match page
- All Boys vs CA Estudiantes — team news & stats
- Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato
- Deportivo Moron v Ciudad de Bolívar — match page
Before and after this match
Acassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 44.6% | 2.24 | -9.7% | 1.72 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Acassuso | 25.6% |
| Draw | 29.7% | |
| Ferro Carril Oeste | 44.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 19.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 80.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 25.3% |
| No | 74.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ferro Carril Oeste win | 3.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 12.1% | |
| Loss | 84.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 23.2% |
| 1-0 | 21.9% | |
| 2-0 | 11.9% |
Acassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste stats
Acassuso and Ferro Carril Oeste recent form
| Acassuso |
DDWLWW |
| Ferro Carril Oeste |
LWDLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Acassuso and Ferro Carril Oeste season so far
Acassuso record
- They have won 8 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 19 of 34 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Ferro Carril Oeste record
- They have won 19 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 16 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 34 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Acassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Ferro Carril Oeste | Acassuso | Primera Nacional | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Acassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 18.2%, draw 27.5%, away 54.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.98 | 3.26 | 1.67 |
| Betano | 5.00 | 3.35 | 1.72 |
| Marathonbet | 4.85 | 3.26 | 1.65 |
| Pinnacle | 5.24 | 3.56 | 1.66 |
| William Hill | 5.00 | 3.30 | 1.67 |