San Telmo
vs
Central Norte
Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw
0 – 0 Predicted score · 21% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
San Telmo vs Central Norte overview
Garuda Lions analysis: San Telmo vs Central Norte
| Probability | San Telmo | Draw | Central Norte |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.8% | 37.6% | 30.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 31.8% | 37.6% | 30.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
San Telmo vs Central Norte match preview
San Telmo faces Central Norte in a match where the probabilities suggest a closely contested game. San Telmo has a 32% chance of winning, while Central Norte has a 31% chance, with a draw slightly favored at 38%. The expected goals for both teams are nearly identical, with San Telmo at 0.82 and Central Norte at 0.80, indicating a potential for a low-scoring affair. Our model predicts a most likely scoreline of 0-0, with a 21% probability.
In terms of recent form, San Telmo has recorded two wins and four losses in their last six matches, while Central Norte has drawn four of their last five games, with one loss. Historically, San Telmo has the upper hand in their last three encounters, winning twice and drawing once against Central Norte, who has yet to secure a victory in this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
San Telmo and Central Norte expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.63
San Telmo and Central Norte attack and defence ratings
San Telmo
Central Norte
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 36 fixtures
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- Chacarita Juniors v Nueva Chicago — match page
- Colon Santa Fe vs Defensores De Belgrano — team news & stats
- San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy
- Agropecuario v Almagro — match page
- All Boys vs CA Estudiantes — team news & stats
- Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato
- Deportivo Moron v Ciudad de Bolívar — match page
Before and after this match
San Telmo vs Central Norte markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 37.6% | 2.66 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San Telmo | 31.8% |
| Draw | 37.6% | |
| Central Norte | 30.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 22.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 77.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32.3% |
| No | 67.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 62.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | San Telmo win | 10.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 68.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 21.0% |
| 1-0 | 14.9% | |
| 0-1 | 14.5% |
San Telmo vs Central Norte stats
San Telmo and Central Norte recent form
| San Telmo |
LDLWWL |
| Central Norte |
DWDDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
San Telmo and Central Norte season so far
San Telmo record
- They have won 9 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 17 of 34 matches.
Central Norte record
- They have won 7 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 16 of 34 matches.
San Telmo vs Central Norte head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Central Norte | San Telmo | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2025-09-14 | San Telmo | Central Norte | Primera Nacional | 3-1 |
| 2025-05-13 | Central Norte | San Telmo | Primera Nacional | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.