Primera Nacional Β· Β·Matchday 35

Central Norte vs Acassuso

Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw

0 – 0 Predicted score Β· 25% model probability

  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena, Salta

Central Norte 38%
Draw 40%
Acassuso 23%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance of a draw
40%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
75%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
27%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 0
25% of simulated outcomes

Central Norte vs Acassuso overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Central Norte vs Acassuso

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCentral NorteDrawAcassuso
Model37.8%39.6%22.6%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final37.8%39.6%22.6%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Central Norte vs Acassuso match preview

Central Norte faces Acassuso in an upcoming Primera Nacional match, with our model assigning a 38% probability of a Central Norte victory, a 40% chance of a draw, and a 23% likelihood of an Acassuso win. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-0, occurring at a rate of 25%. The expected goals for Central Norte stand at 0.85, while Acassuso is projected at 0.59, indicating a potentially low-scoring affair.

In terms of recent form, Central Norte has recorded one win, three draws, and two losses in their last six matches, while Acassuso has achieved two wins, three draws, and one loss in the same timeframe. The head-to-head record shows Acassuso with one win against Central Norte in their last encounter. The overall confidence grade for this matchup is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Central Norte ↓ / Acassuso β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 25% 13% 1 19% 13% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 75%
2+ goals 43%
3+ goals 18%
No goals 25%

Central Norte and Acassuso expected goals

Central Norte 0.85
Acassuso 0.59

Total expected goals: 1.44

Central Norte and Acassuso attack and defence ratings

Central Norte

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Acassuso

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 35 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

Central Norte vs Acassuso markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Draw 39.6% 2.53 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 82.4% 1.21 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 73.3% 1.36 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 77.4% 1.29 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 62.2% 1.61 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Central Norte37.8%
Draw39.6%
Acassuso22.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.517.6%
Under 2.582.4%
Both teams to scoreYes26.7%
No73.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)77.4%
12 (either side)60.4%
X2 (draw or away)62.2%
Handicap -1Central Norte win13.4%
Push (exactly one goal)24.4%
Loss62.2%
Correct score (top 3)0-024.9%
1-018.9%
1-113.1%

Central Norte vs Acassuso stats

Central Norte and Acassuso recent form

newest first
Central Norte WDDDLD
Acassuso DWLWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Central Norte and Acassuso season so far

league record

Central Norte record

  • They have won 6 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 33 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 16 of 33 matches.

Acassuso record

  • They have won 8 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 33 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 18 of 33 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

Central Norte vs Acassuso head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Central Norte wins 0Draws 1Acassuso wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-06AcassusoCentral NortePrimera Nacional2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Central Norte vs Acassuso odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot X Draw Predicted score 0 – 0 Low Bet Now
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