Quilmes
vs
San Martin Tucuman
2 – 1 Full time
| 7′ | N. Castro | ||
| 26′ | G. Rodriguez | ||
| 28′ | A. Spetale | ||
| 29′ | A. Veliez | ||
| 40′ | E. Parnisari | ||
| 43′ | J. Yangali | ||
| 46′ | A. GranerosD. Diellos | ||
| 58′ | J. YangaliG. Vazquez | ||
| 63′ | M. GarciaG. Rodriguez | ||
| 63′ | V. SalazarA. Paz | ||
| 63′ | L. ArfarasJ. Juarez | ||
| 71′ | M. VallejosS. Rodriguez | ||
| 71′ | T. OrtegaM. Fernandez | ||
| 76′ | N. Gallardo | ||
| 78′ | A. BatistaN. Colazo | ||
| 78′ | J. NovilloL. Romeo | ||
| 80′ | N. CastroG. Carabajal | ||
| 82′ | G. Rodriguez | ||
| 85′ | A. Spetale | ||
| 90′ | J. Juarez |
Quilmes vs San Martin Tucuman overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Quilmes vs San Martin Tucuman
| Probability | Quilmes | Draw | San Martin Tucuman |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.4% | 31.4% | 29.2% |
| Market | 45.1% | 29.5% | 25.3% |
| Final | 43.7% | 30.0% | 26.3% |
| Edge | -1.4% | +0.5% | +1.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Quilmes and San Martin Tucuman expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.22
Quilmes and San Martin Tucuman attack and defence ratings
Quilmes
San Martin Tucuman
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Quilmes vs San Martin Tucuman: result vs prediction
Quilmes 2 – 1 San Martin Tucuman
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 35 fixtures
Before and after this match
Quilmes vs San Martin Tucuman markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Quilmes | 43.7% | 2.29 | -1.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Quilmes | 43.7% |
| Draw | 30.0% | |
| San Martin Tucuman | 26.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.0% |
| No | 54.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Quilmes win | 17.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 60.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 12.1% | |
| 1-0 | 11.8% |
Quilmes vs San Martin Tucuman stats
Quilmes and San Martin Tucuman recent form
| Quilmes |
LLDWLW |
| San Martin Tucuman |
WLWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Quilmes and San Martin Tucuman going into this match
Quilmes record
- They have won 10 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 19 of 34 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
San Martin Tucuman record
- They have won 11 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 34 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Quilmes vs San Martin Tucuman head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | San Martin Tucuman | Quilmes | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2025-09-28 | San Martin Tucuman | Quilmes | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-26 | Quilmes | San Martin Tucuman | Primera Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2024-07-22 | Quilmes | San Martin Tucuman | Primera Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2024-03-05 | San Martin Tucuman | Quilmes | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2022-04-27 | Quilmes | San Martin Tucuman | Copa Argentina | 2-0 |
| 2022-04-05 | Quilmes | San Martin Tucuman | Primera Nacional | 2-2 |
| 2021-11-06 | Quilmes | San Martin Tucuman | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2021-07-13 | San Martin Tucuman | Quilmes | Primera Nacional | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Quilmes vs San Martin Tucuman odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.2%, draw 29.7%, away 25.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.96 | 3.05 | 3.74 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.13 | 3.75 |
| Betano | 2.05 | 3.15 | 3.60 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.00 | 3.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.06 | 3.25 | 3.65 |
| Marathonbet | 1.94 | 3.05 | 3.64 |
| Pinnacle | 2.08 | 3.20 | 3.87 |
| SBO | 2.01 | 2.80 | 3.18 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 2.90 | 3.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .