Primera Nacional Β· Β·Matchday 35

CA Estudiantes vs Los Andes

Garuda Lions Prediction: CA Estudiantes

2 – 0 Predicted score Β· 12% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.95 vs 0.78.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this β€” CA Estudiantes is the favourite, not a value bet.

Estadio Ciudad de Caseros, Buenos Aires

CA Estudiantes 58%
Draw 28%
Los Andes 14%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance CA Estudiantes wins
58%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
93%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
48%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 0
12% of simulated outcomes

CA Estudiantes vs Los Andes overview

Garuda Lions analysis: CA Estudiantes vs Los Andes

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCA EstudiantesDrawLos Andes
Model63.9%22.9%13.2%
Market56.4%29.3%14.3%
Final58.3%27.7%14.1%
Edge+1.9%-1.6%-0.3%

Confidence: Low Β· Edge = Final minus Market

Why CA Estudiantes

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.95 vs 0.78.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Best available price on the pick: 1.70, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -0.9% per unit staked (our 58.3% Γ— 1.70 βˆ’ 1).

CA Estudiantes vs Los Andes match preview

CA Estudiantes enters the match against Los Andes with a strong probability of winning at 64%, while the likelihood of a draw stands at 23% and Los Andes at 13%. The expected goals for CA Estudiantes is 1.95, compared to 0.78 for Los Andes, indicating a significant advantage for the home side. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0, occurring with a 12% probability.

Recent form shows CA Estudiantes with three wins in their last six matches, while Los Andes has struggled, recording only one win in their last six. The probability of over 2.5 goals is at 52%, and both teams scoring is at 48%, suggesting a potentially competitive match, although CA Estudiantes appears to be the stronger side based on the data.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

CA Estudiantes ↓ / Los Andes β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 12% 11% 2 12% 10% 3 8% 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 52%
No goals 7%

CA Estudiantes and Los Andes expected goals

CA Estudiantes 1.95
Los Andes 0.78

Total expected goals: 2.74

CA Estudiantes and Los Andes attack and defence ratings

CA Estudiantes

Attack 1.36 +36%
Defence 1.37 +37%

Los Andes

Attack 0.79 -21%
Defence 1.25 +25%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 35 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

CA Estudiantes vs Los Andes markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 CA Estudiantes 58.3% 1.72 +1.9% 1.70
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.6% 1.94 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 52.4% 1.91 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 85.9% 1.16 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 CA Estudiantes win 39.8% 2.51 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2CA Estudiantes58.3%
Draw27.7%
Los Andes14.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.6%
Under 2.548.4%
Both teams to scoreYes47.6%
No52.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)85.9%
12 (either side)72.3%
X2 (draw or away)41.7%
Handicap -1CA Estudiantes win39.8%
Push (exactly one goal)24.2%
Loss36.1%
Correct score (top 3)2-012.4%
1-011.7%
1-110.9%

CA Estudiantes vs Los Andes stats

CA Estudiantes and Los Andes recent form

newest first
CA Estudiantes LWLWWW
Los Andes DLLWLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

CA Estudiantes and Los Andes season so far

league record

CA Estudiantes record

  • They have won 13 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 33 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 12 of 33 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).

Los Andes record

  • They have won 9 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 16 clean sheets in 33 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 17 of 33 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

CA Estudiantes vs Los Andes head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0CA Estudiantes wins 1Draws 0Los Andes wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-06Los AndesCA EstudiantesPrimera Nacional0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

CA Estudiantes vs Los Andes odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 56.2%, draw 29.2%, away 14.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.59 3.12 6.37
Bet365 1.65 3.10 6.50
Betano 1.70 3.20 5.70
Betfair 1.62 3.20 6.00
Dafabet 1.64 3.30 6.40
Marathonbet 1.57 3.12 6.20
Pinnacle 1.60 3.37 6.53
SBO 1.58 2.89 5.32
William Hill 1.65 3.10 6.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.62 β–Ό -0.05
X 3.12 β–² +0.01
2 6.37 β–² +0.52

10 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 CA Estudiantes Predicted score 2 – 0 Low Bet Now
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