Primera Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 35

CA Estudiantes vs Los Andes

1 – 1 Full time

24′F. Dure
45′F. Ardiles
46′M. GonzalezF. Sanchez
46′F. DureS. Camacho
56′F. Sanchez
62′M. NunezJ. Correa
63′E. AcostaE. Almiron
68′J. VazquezL. E. Alegre
68′N. FernandezB. Garay
71′B. Sanchez de Leon
75′M. Albarracin
76′M. Asenjo
80′B. Sanchez de LeonB. Bernardi
85′G. D. CarrascoJ. Navas
90′A. GonzalezF. Rodriguez

Estadio Ciudad de Caseros, Buenos Aires

CA Estudiantes 57%
Draw 27%
Los Andes 15%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

CA Estudiantes vs Los Andes overview

Garuda Lions analysis: CA Estudiantes vs Los Andes

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCA EstudiantesDrawLos Andes
Model63.8%22.9%13.3%
Market54.9%29.0%16.1%
Final57.1%27.5%15.4%
Edge+2.2%-1.5%-0.7%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why CA Estudiantes

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.95 vs 0.78.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices CA Estudiantes below our published probability: +2.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

CA Estudiantes ↓ / Los Andes → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 12% 11% 2 12% 10% 3 8% 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

CA Estudiantes and Los Andes expected goals

CA Estudiantes 1.95
Los Andes 0.78

Total expected goals: 2.73

CA Estudiantes and Los Andes attack and defence ratings

CA Estudiantes

Attack 1.35 +35%
Defence 1.37 +37%

Los Andes

Attack 0.79 -21%
Defence 1.25 +25%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

CA Estudiantes vs Los Andes: result vs prediction

CA Estudiantes 1 – 1 Los Andes

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 35 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

CA Estudiantes vs Los Andes markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 CA Estudiantes 57.1% 1.75 +2.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.4% 1.94 — —
Both teams to score No 52.4% 1.91 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 84.6% 1.18 — —
Handicap -1 CA Estudiantes win 39.6% 2.53 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2CA Estudiantes57.1%
Draw27.5%
Los Andes15.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.4%
Under 2.548.6%
Both teams to scoreYes47.6%
No52.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)84.6%
12 (either side)72.5%
X2 (draw or away)42.9%
Handicap -1CA Estudiantes win39.6%
Push (exactly one goal)24.2%
Loss36.2%
Correct score (top 3)2-012.3%
1-011.7%
1-110.9%

CA Estudiantes vs Los Andes stats

CA Estudiantes and Los Andes recent form

newest first
CA Estudiantes LWLWWW
Los Andes DLLWLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

CA Estudiantes and Los Andes going into this match

league record before kick-off

CA Estudiantes record

  • They have won 13 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 34 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 12 of 34 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).

Los Andes record

  • They have won 9 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 16 clean sheets in 34 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 17 of 34 matches.
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

CA Estudiantes vs Los Andes head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

2CA Estudiantes wins 3Draws 2Los Andes wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-06Los AndesCA EstudiantesPrimera Nacional0-0
2014-05-17CA EstudiantesLos AndesPrimera B Metropolitana3-0
2013-11-29Los AndesCA EstudiantesPrimera B Metropolitana1-0
2013-02-16CA EstudiantesLos AndesPrimera B Metropolitana0-0
2012-09-02Los AndesCA EstudiantesPrimera B Metropolitana0-0
2012-05-19CA EstudiantesLos AndesPrimera B Metropolitana0-2
2011-12-07Los AndesCA EstudiantesPrimera B Metropolitana1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

CA Estudiantes vs Los Andes odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 54.9%, draw 29.0%, away 16.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.62 3.15 5.85
Bet365 1.70 3.20 5.75
BetVictor 1.70 3.20 5.75
Betano 1.70 3.15 5.60
Betfair 1.60 3.20 6.00
Dafabet 1.69 3.30 5.60
Marathonbet 1.60 3.15 5.70
Pinnacle 1.69 3.38 5.92
SBO 1.58 2.89 5.32
William Hill 1.67 3.10 5.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.69 ▲ +0.02
X 3.20 ▲ +0.09
2 5.75 ▼ -0.10

13 snapshots recorded, from .