CA Estudiantes
vs
Los Andes
Garuda Lions Prediction: CA Estudiantes
2 β 0 Predicted score Β· 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.95 vs 0.78.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this β CA Estudiantes is the favourite, not a value bet.
CA Estudiantes vs Los Andes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CA Estudiantes vs Los Andes
| Probability | CA Estudiantes | Draw | Los Andes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63.9% | 22.9% | 13.2% |
| Market | 56.4% | 29.3% | 14.3% |
| Final | 58.3% | 27.7% | 14.1% |
| Edge | +1.9% | -1.6% | -0.3% |
Why CA Estudiantes
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.95 vs 0.78.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.70, recorded β the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -0.9% per unit staked (our 58.3% Γ 1.70 β 1).
CA Estudiantes vs Los Andes match preview
CA Estudiantes enters the match against Los Andes with a strong probability of winning at 64%, while the likelihood of a draw stands at 23% and Los Andes at 13%. The expected goals for CA Estudiantes is 1.95, compared to 0.78 for Los Andes, indicating a significant advantage for the home side. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0, occurring with a 12% probability.
Recent form shows CA Estudiantes with three wins in their last six matches, while Los Andes has struggled, recording only one win in their last six. The probability of over 2.5 goals is at 52%, and both teams scoring is at 48%, suggesting a potentially competitive match, although CA Estudiantes appears to be the stronger side based on the data.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
CA Estudiantes and Los Andes expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.74
CA Estudiantes and Los Andes attack and defence ratings
CA Estudiantes
Los Andes
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
CA Estudiantes vs Los Andes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CA Estudiantes | 58.3% | 1.72 | +1.9% | 1.70 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.6% | 1.94 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.4% | 1.91 | β | β |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.9% | 1.16 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | CA Estudiantes win | 39.8% | 2.51 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CA Estudiantes | 58.3% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| Los Andes | 14.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.6% |
| No | 52.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | CA Estudiantes win | 39.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.2% | |
| Loss | 36.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.4% |
| 1-0 | 11.7% | |
| 1-1 | 10.9% |
CA Estudiantes vs Los Andes stats
CA Estudiantes and Los Andes recent form
| LWLWWW | |
| DLLWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CA Estudiantes and Los Andes season so far
CA Estudiantes record
- They have won 13 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
Los Andes record
- They have won 9 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 16 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 17 of 33 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CA Estudiantes vs Los Andes head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Los Andes | CA Estudiantes | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
CA Estudiantes vs Los Andes odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 56.2%, draw 29.2%, away 14.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.59 | 3.12 | 6.37 |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 3.10 | 6.50 |
| Betano | 1.70 | 3.20 | 5.70 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 3.20 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.64 | 3.30 | 6.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.57 | 3.12 | 6.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60 | 3.37 | 6.53 |
| SBO | 1.58 | 2.89 | 5.32 |
| William Hill | 1.65 | 3.10 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .