Primera Nacional · ·Matchday 34

Godoy Cruz vs CA Estudiantes

Garuda Lions Prediction: Godoy Cruz

1 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability

Estadio Feliciano Gambarte, Mendoza

Godoy Cruz 52%
Draw 29%
CA Estudiantes 19%

Confidence: Low  Â·  blended with market odds

Chance Godoy Cruz wins
52%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
89%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
44%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
14% of simulated outcomes

Godoy Cruz vs CA Estudiantes overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Godoy Cruz vs CA Estudiantes

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGodoy CruzDrawCA Estudiantes
Model51.7%28.8%19.5%
Market51.8%29.5%18.7%
Final51.8%29.4%18.9%
Edge-0.1%-0.7%+0.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Godoy Cruz

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.48 vs 0.82.

Best available price on the pick: 1.81, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Godoy Cruz vs CA Estudiantes match preview

Godoy Cruz enters the match with a strong recent form, having won five of their last six games, and their expected goals stand at 1.62. Their chances of winning are estimated at 53%, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0, occurring 12% of the time according to our model. In contrast, CA Estudiantes has a mixed recent performance, winning three of their last six matches, with expected goals of 0.90 and a winning probability of 20%.

The probability of a draw is assessed at 27%, while both teams have a nearly equal chance of scoring, with 49% likelihood for both teams to find the net. Historically, in their last encounter, CA Estudiantes secured a victory against Godoy Cruz, who has yet to win in this matchup. This adds an interesting dynamic to the upcoming fixture.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Godoy Cruz ↓ / CA Estudiantes → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 7% 1 14% 13% 2 11% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 68%
3+ goals 40%
No goals 11%

Godoy Cruz and CA Estudiantes expected goals

Godoy Cruz 1.48
CA Estudiantes 0.82

Total expected goals: 2.30

Godoy Cruz and CA Estudiantes attack and defence ratings

Godoy Cruz

Attack 1.52 +52%
Defence 0.98 -2%

CA Estudiantes

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 34 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

Godoy Cruz vs CA Estudiantes markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Godoy Cruz 51.8% 1.93 -0.1% 1.81
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 59.7% 1.68 — —
Both teams to score No 55.7% 1.80 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 81.1% 1.23 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 48.3% 2.07 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Godoy Cruz51.8%
Draw29.4%
CA Estudiantes18.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.540.3%
Under 2.559.7%
Both teams to scoreYes44.3%
No55.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)81.1%
12 (either side)70.6%
X2 (draw or away)48.2%
Handicap -1Godoy Cruz win27.0%
Push (exactly one goal)24.7%
Loss48.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-013.7%
1-113.4%
0-011.3%

Godoy Cruz vs CA Estudiantes stats

Godoy Cruz and CA Estudiantes recent form

newest first
Godoy Cruz DWDWWW
CA Estudiantes WLWWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Godoy Cruz and CA Estudiantes season so far

league record

Godoy Cruz record

  • They have won 16 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 33 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 33 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

CA Estudiantes record

  • They have won 13 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 33 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 12 of 33 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).

Godoy Cruz vs CA Estudiantes head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Godoy Cruz wins 0Draws 1CA Estudiantes wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-30CA EstudiantesGodoy CruzPrimera Nacional1-0
2016-07-19Godoy CruzCA EstudiantesCopa Argentina2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Godoy Cruz vs CA Estudiantes odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 51.5%, draw 29.5%, away 19.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.72 3.12 4.88
Bet365 1.80 3.10 5.00
BetVictor 1.80 3.20 5.00
Betano 1.80 3.10 5.00
Betfair 1.75 3.10 4.60
Dafabet 1.81 3.15 4.80
Marathonbet 1.70 3.12 4.75
Pinnacle 1.76 3.24 5.13
SBO 1.77 2.83 4.01
William Hill 1.80 3.00 4.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.78 â–² +0.08
X 3.12 â–¼ -0.09
2 4.94 â–¼ -0.15

10 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Godoy Cruz Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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