Primera Nacional · ·Matchday 35

Atletico Mitre vs Godoy Cruz

Garuda Lions Prediction: Godoy Cruz

0 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability

  • WhyBetter recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Godoy Cruz is the favourite, not a value bet.

Estadio Aurinegro, Santiago del Estero

Atletico Mitre 28%
Draw 32%
Godoy Cruz 40%

Confidence: Low  Â·  blended with market odds

Chance Godoy Cruz wins
40%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
91%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
53%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 1
9% of simulated outcomes

Atletico Mitre vs Godoy Cruz overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Atletico Mitre vs Godoy Cruz

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAtletico MitreDrawGodoy Cruz
Model32.2%29.2%38.5%
Market26.1%33.2%40.6%
Final27.6%32.2%40.1%
Edge+1.5%-1.0%-0.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Godoy Cruz

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Best available price on the pick: 2.30, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.8% per unit staked (our 40.1% × 2.30 − 1).

Atletico Mitre vs Godoy Cruz match preview

Atletico Mitre faces Godoy Cruz in the Primera Nacional with kickoff set for October 25, 2026. According to our model, Godoy Cruz holds a 39% chance of winning, while Atletico Mitre has a 32% probability, and a draw stands at 29%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with an expected goals tally of 1.20 for Atletico Mitre and 1.33 for Godoy Cruz.

Recent form shows Atletico Mitre with a record of W-D-W-L-L-D, while Godoy Cruz has been more consistent, recording W-D-W-D-W-W. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47%, and both teams scoring is projected at 53%. In their last head-to-head encounter, Godoy Cruz emerged victorious, adding to the competitive nature of this matchup.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Atletico Mitre ↓ / Godoy Cruz → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 9% 7% 1 8% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 47%
No goals 9%

Atletico Mitre and Godoy Cruz expected goals

Atletico Mitre 1.20
Godoy Cruz 1.33

Total expected goals: 2.54

Atletico Mitre and Godoy Cruz attack and defence ratings

Atletico Mitre

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Godoy Cruz

Attack 1.97 +97%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 35 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

Atletico Mitre vs Godoy Cruz markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Godoy Cruz 40.1% 2.49 -0.5% 2.30
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53.4% 1.87 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.8% 1.89 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 72.4% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.5% 1.63 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Atletico Mitre27.6%
Draw32.2%
Godoy Cruz40.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546.6%
Under 2.553.4%
Both teams to scoreYes52.8%
No47.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)59.9%
12 (either side)67.8%
X2 (draw or away)72.4%
Handicap -1Godoy Cruz win18.2%
Push (exactly one goal)20.4%
Loss61.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.0%
0-19.3%
0-09.2%

Atletico Mitre vs Godoy Cruz stats

Atletico Mitre and Godoy Cruz recent form

newest first
Atletico Mitre WDWLLD
Godoy Cruz WDWDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Atletico Mitre and Godoy Cruz season so far

league record

Atletico Mitre record

  • They have won 7 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 33 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 13 of 33 matches.

Godoy Cruz record

  • They have won 16 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 33 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 33 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Atletico Mitre vs Godoy Cruz head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Atletico Mitre wins 0Draws 1Godoy Cruz wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-07Godoy CruzAtletico MitrePrimera Nacional2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Atletico Mitre vs Godoy Cruz odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 25.9%, draw 33.0%, away 41.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.48 2.74 2.21
Bet365 3.75 2.75 2.25
Betano 3.55 3.05 2.12
Betfair 3.50 2.80 2.20
Dafabet 3.60 2.85 2.27
Marathonbet 3.38 2.74 2.19
Pinnacle 3.47 2.94 2.29
SBO 3.12 2.62 2.13
William Hill 3.60 2.62 2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.50 â–¼ -0.37
X 2.75 â–¼ -0.27
2 2.25 â–² +0.31

9 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 2 Godoy Cruz Predicted score 0 – 1 Low Bet Now
v Bet Now