Atletico Mitre
vs
Godoy Cruz
Garuda Lions Prediction: Godoy Cruz
0 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Godoy Cruz is the favourite, not a value bet.
Atletico Mitre vs Godoy Cruz overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atletico Mitre vs Godoy Cruz
| Probability | Atletico Mitre | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.2% | 29.2% | 38.5% |
| Market | 26.1% | 33.2% | 40.6% |
| Final | 27.6% | 32.2% | 40.1% |
| Edge | +1.5% | -1.0% | -0.5% |
Why Godoy Cruz
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.30, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.8% per unit staked (our 40.1% × 2.30 − 1).
Atletico Mitre vs Godoy Cruz match preview
Atletico Mitre faces Godoy Cruz in the Primera Nacional with kickoff set for October 25, 2026. According to our model, Godoy Cruz holds a 39% chance of winning, while Atletico Mitre has a 32% probability, and a draw stands at 29%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with an expected goals tally of 1.20 for Atletico Mitre and 1.33 for Godoy Cruz.
Recent form shows Atletico Mitre with a record of W-D-W-L-L-D, while Godoy Cruz has been more consistent, recording W-D-W-D-W-W. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47%, and both teams scoring is projected at 53%. In their last head-to-head encounter, Godoy Cruz emerged victorious, adding to the competitive nature of this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Atletico Mitre and Godoy Cruz expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.54
Atletico Mitre and Godoy Cruz attack and defence ratings
Atletico Mitre
Godoy Cruz
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 35 fixtures
- CA Estudiantes v Los Andes — match page
- Patronato vs Agropecuario
- Temperley v Chacarita Juniors — match page
- Gimnasia Jujuy v Atlanta — match page
- Racing Cordoba v All Boys — match page
- Central Norte vs Acassuso — team news & stats
- Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atlético Güemes
- Midland vs Gimnasia Y Tiro — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Atletico Mitre vs Godoy Cruz markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Godoy Cruz | 40.1% | 2.49 | -0.5% | 2.30 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico Mitre | 27.6% |
| Draw | 32.2% | |
| Godoy Cruz | 40.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.8% |
| No | 47.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Godoy Cruz win | 18.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.4% | |
| Loss | 61.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 0-1 | 9.3% | |
| 0-0 | 9.2% |
Atletico Mitre vs Godoy Cruz stats
Atletico Mitre and Godoy Cruz recent form
| WDWLLD | |
| WDWDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Atletico Mitre and Godoy Cruz season so far
Atletico Mitre record
- They have won 7 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 33 matches.
Godoy Cruz record
- They have won 16 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atletico Mitre vs Godoy Cruz head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | Godoy Cruz | Atletico Mitre | Primera Nacional | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Atletico Mitre vs Godoy Cruz odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 25.9%, draw 33.0%, away 41.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.48 | 2.74 | 2.21 |
| Bet365 | 3.75 | 2.75 | 2.25 |
| Betano | 3.55 | 3.05 | 2.12 |
| Betfair | 3.50 | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| Dafabet | 3.60 | 2.85 | 2.27 |
| Marathonbet | 3.38 | 2.74 | 2.19 |
| Pinnacle | 3.47 | 2.94 | 2.29 |
| SBO | 3.12 | 2.62 | 2.13 |
| William Hill | 3.60 | 2.62 | 2.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .