Godoy Cruz
vs
Almirante Brown
Garuda Lions Prediction: Godoy Cruz
2 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.42 vs 0.85.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Godoy Cruz vs Almirante Brown overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Godoy Cruz vs Almirante Brown
| Probability | Godoy Cruz | Draw | Almirante Brown |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 71.1% | 18.3% | 10.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 71.1% | 18.3% | 10.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Godoy Cruz
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.42 vs 0.85.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Godoy Cruz vs Almirante Brown match preview
Godoy Cruz enters this match with a strong probability of winning at 71%, while Almirante Brown stands at 11%. The expected goals for Godoy Cruz is 2.42, significantly higher than Almirante Brown's 0.85. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0, occurring with an 11% likelihood. Additionally, there is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match.
In terms of recent form, Godoy Cruz has shown consistency with three wins and two draws in their last five matches, while Almirante Brown has struggled, managing only two draws and three losses. The head-to-head record from their last encounter shows Almirante Brown with one win against Godoy Cruz, who has yet to secure a victory. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Godoy Cruz and Almirante Brown expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.27
Godoy Cruz and Almirante Brown attack and defence ratings
Godoy Cruz
Almirante Brown
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 36 fixtures
- Chacarita Juniors v Nueva Chicago — match page
- Colon Santa Fe vs Defensores De Belgrano — team news & stats
- San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy
- Agropecuario v Almagro — match page
- All Boys vs CA Estudiantes — team news & stats
- Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato
- Deportivo Moron v Ciudad de Bolívar — match page
- Los Andes vs Atletico Mitre — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Godoy Cruz vs Almirante Brown markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Godoy Cruz | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.5% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.4% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Godoy Cruz win | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Godoy Cruz | 71.1% |
| Draw | 18.3% | |
| Almirante Brown | 10.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.1% |
| No | 46.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 28.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Godoy Cruz win | 49.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 28.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 3-0 | 8.9% |
Godoy Cruz vs Almirante Brown stats
Godoy Cruz and Almirante Brown recent form
| Godoy Cruz |
WDWDWW |
| Almirante Brown |
DDLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Godoy Cruz and Almirante Brown season so far
Godoy Cruz record
- They have won 17 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 34 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Almirante Brown record
- They have won 12 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 18 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 34 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Godoy Cruz vs Almirante Brown head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Almirante Brown | Godoy Cruz | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.