Tristan Suarez
vs
Deportivo Maipu
Garuda Lions Prediction: Tristan Suarez
1 – 0 Predicted score · 23% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.00 vs 0.41.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Tristan Suarez vs Deportivo Maipu overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tristan Suarez vs Deportivo Maipu
| Probability | Tristan Suarez | Draw | Deportivo Maipu |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.7% | 37.4% | 13.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 48.7% | 37.4% | 13.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Tristan Suarez
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.00 vs 0.41.
Tristan Suarez vs Deportivo Maipu match preview
Tristan Suarez hosts Deportivo Maipu in a Primera Nacional clash with a kickoff set for October 31, 2026. According to our model, Tristan Suarez has a 50% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 38% and Deportivo Maipu at 12%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Tristan Suarez, with an expected goals tally of 0.99 for them and just 0.35 for Deportivo Maipu.
In terms of recent form, Tristan Suarez has recorded three draws and two wins in their last six matches, while Deportivo Maipu has one win, two draws, and three losses in the same period. The head-to-head record over the last three encounters shows an even split, with each team securing one win and one match ending in a draw. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Tristan Suarez and Deportivo Maipu expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.41
Tristan Suarez and Deportivo Maipu attack and defence ratings
Tristan Suarez
Deportivo Maipu
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 36 fixtures
- Godoy Cruz vs Almirante Brown
- Chacarita Juniors v Nueva Chicago — match page
- Colon Santa Fe vs Defensores De Belgrano — team news & stats
- San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy
- Agropecuario v Almagro — match page
- All Boys vs CA Estudiantes — team news & stats
- Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato
- Deportivo Moron v Ciudad de Bolívar — match page
Before and after this match
Tristan Suarez vs Deportivo Maipu markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tristan Suarez | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 83.0% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.2% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tristan Suarez | 48.7% |
| Draw | 37.4% | |
| Deportivo Maipu | 13.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 17.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 83.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 22.3% |
| No | 77.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 62.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tristan Suarez win | 19.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 28.8% | |
| Loss | 51.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 25.3% |
| 1-0 | 23.4% | |
| 2-0 | 12.3% |
Tristan Suarez vs Deportivo Maipu stats
Tristan Suarez and Deportivo Maipu recent form
| Tristan Suarez |
DWDDWD |
| Deportivo Maipu |
WLDWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tristan Suarez and Deportivo Maipu season so far
Tristan Suarez record
- They have won 16 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 24 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 34 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Deportivo Maipu record
- They have won 13 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 34 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Tristan Suarez vs Deportivo Maipu head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Deportivo Maipu | Tristan Suarez | Primera Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2025-08-09 | Deportivo Maipu | Tristan Suarez | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-05 | Tristan Suarez | Deportivo Maipu | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.