Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 36
San Miguel
vs
Deportivo Madryn
0 – 1 Full time
| 17′ | S. Riquelme | ||
| 23′ | F. Almeida | ||
| 31′ | J. Cosi | ||
| 38′ | S. R. Bevilacqua VelazquezN. Liniers | ||
| 46′ | T. CarosioM. Serra | ||
| 46′ | S. RiquelmeM. Oses | ||
| 47′ | A. Cruz | ||
| 54′ | F. Bersano | ||
| 61′ | J. PeinipilE. Jara | ||
| 61′ | F. BersanoL. Marinucci | ||
| 61′ | J. CosiA. Martinez | ||
| 67′ | N. CoronelF. Gerbaldo | ||
| 71′ | N. D. OrtizT. Gonzalez | ||
| 71′ | E. MontagnaA. Gutierrez | ||
| 74′ | A. CruzL. Urquiza | ||
| 84′ | M. Serra | ||
| 90′ | M. Oses |
San Miguel
18%
Draw
28%
Deportivo Madryn
54%
San Miguel vs Deportivo Madryn overview
Garuda Lions analysis: San Miguel vs Deportivo Madryn
| Probability | San Miguel | Draw | Deportivo Madryn |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16.3% | 28.4% | 55.2% |
| Market | 18.6% | 27.4% | 54.0% |
| Final | 18.0% | 27.7% | 54.3% |
| Edge | -0.6% | +0.3% | +0.3% |
Why Deportivo Madryn
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.50 vs 0.71.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
88%
2+ goals
66%
3+ goals
38%
No goals
12%
San Miguel and Deportivo Madryn expected goals
San Miguel
0.71
Deportivo Madryn
1.50
Total expected goals: 2.21
San Miguel and Deportivo Madryn attack and defence ratings
San Miguel
Attack
0.79 -21%
Defence
1.33 +33%
Deportivo Madryn
Attack
1.56 +56%
Defence
0.78 -22%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
San Miguel vs Deportivo Madryn: result vs prediction
San Miguel 0 – 1 Deportivo Madryn
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 36 fixtures
- Godoy Cruz vs Almirante Brown
- San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy
- Agropecuario v Almagro — match page
- San Telmo vs Central Norte — team news & stats
- Atlanta v Midland — match page
- Tristan Suarez vs Deportivo Maipu — team news & stats
- Acassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste
- Club Atlético Güemes v Temperley — match page
Before and after this match
San Miguel vs Deportivo Madryn markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Madryn | 54.3% | 1.84 | +0.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San Miguel | 18.0% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| Deportivo Madryn | 54.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.5% |
| No | 59.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 45.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 82.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Madryn win | 29.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.8% | |
| Loss | 44.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 15.3% |
| 1-1 | 12.8% | |
| 0-2 | 12.4% |
San Miguel vs Deportivo Madryn stats
San Miguel and Deportivo Madryn recent form
| San Miguel |
DLDLLD |
| Deportivo Madryn |
WDLWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
San Miguel and Deportivo Madryn going into this match
San Miguel record
- They have won 6 of their 35 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 35 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 35 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Deportivo Madryn record
- They have won 15 of their 35 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 35 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 35 matches.
San Miguel vs Deportivo Madryn head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
0San Miguel wins
3Draws
1Deportivo Madryn wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Deportivo Madryn | San Miguel | Primera Nacional | 2-2 |
| 2025-07-05 | San Miguel | Deportivo Madryn | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-02 | Deportivo Madryn | San Miguel | Primera Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2024-11-03 | Deportivo Madryn | San Miguel | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
San Miguel vs Deportivo Madryn odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 18.6%, draw 27.4%, away 54.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.92 | 3.34 | 1.66 |
| Bet365 | 5.25 | 3.25 | 1.70 |
| BetVictor | 5.25 | 3.40 | 1.70 |
| Betano | 5.60 | 3.55 | 1.62 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 3.30 | 1.62 |
| Dafabet | 4.90 | 3.40 | 1.75 |
| Marathonbet | 4.80 | 3.34 | 1.64 |
| Pinnacle | 4.95 | 3.51 | 1.69 |
| SBO | 3.41 | 2.76 | 1.95 |
| William Hill | 4.80 | 3.30 | 1.75 |