Primera Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 35

Defensores De Belgrano vs San Miguel

0 – 0 Full time

22′L. Desabato
27′E. Aguirre
34′K. Ceceri
43′L. Delgado
45′E. AguirreF. Tcherkaski
56′L. Gigli
59′N. BorsottiA. Benitez
69′M. SerraM. Oses
73′P. MoyanoL. Ciccolini
73′L. LandrielI. Gutierrez
76′A. CruzL. Brochero
81′L. DesabatoT. Jerez
83′L. Jerez Silva

Estadio Juan Pasquale, Belgrano

Defensores De Belgrano 54%
Draw 29%
San Miguel 16%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Defensores De Belgrano vs San Miguel overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Defensores De Belgrano vs San Miguel

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDefensores De BelgranoDrawSan Miguel
Model54.4%29.2%16.4%
Market———
Final54.4%29.2%16.4%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Defensores De Belgrano

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.45 vs 0.68.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Defensores De ↓ / San Miguel → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 1 16% 13% 2 12% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 64%
3+ goals 36%
No goals 13%

Defensores De Belgrano and San Miguel expected goals

Defensores De Belgrano 1.45
San Miguel 0.68

Total expected goals: 2.13

Defensores De Belgrano and San Miguel attack and defence ratings

Defensores De Belgrano

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 1.11 +11%

San Miguel

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 1.47 +47%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Defensores De Belgrano vs San Miguel: result vs prediction

Defensores De Belgrano 0 – 0 San Miguel

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 35 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

Defensores De Belgrano vs San Miguel markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Defensores De Belgrano 54.4% 1.84 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 64.1% 1.56 — —
Both teams to score No 60.9% 1.64 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.6% 1.20 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 45.6% 2.19 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Defensores De Belgrano54.4%
Draw29.2%
San Miguel16.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.535.9%
Under 2.564.1%
Both teams to scoreYes39.1%
No60.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.6%
12 (either side)70.8%
X2 (draw or away)45.6%
Handicap -1Defensores De Belgrano win28.4%
Push (exactly one goal)26.0%
Loss45.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-016.0%
0-013.0%
1-112.9%

Defensores De Belgrano vs San Miguel stats

Defensores De Belgrano and San Miguel recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Defensores De Belgrano and San Miguel going into this match

league record before kick-off

Defensores De Belgrano record

  • They have won 8 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 34 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 16 of 34 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

San Miguel record

  • They have won 6 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 34 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 12 of 34 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).

Defensores De Belgrano vs San Miguel head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

1Defensores De Belgrano wins 2Draws 0San Miguel wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-06San MiguelDefensores De BelgranoPrimera Nacional0-0
2018-04-06San MiguelDefensores De BelgranoPrimera B Metropolitana0-0
2017-11-18Defensores De BelgranoSan MiguelPrimera B Metropolitana3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Defensores De Belgrano vs San Miguel odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.