Defensores De Belgrano
vs
San Miguel
Garuda Lions Prediction: Defensores De Belgrano
1 – 0 Predicted score · 16% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.45 vs 0.68.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Defensores De Belgrano vs San Miguel overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Defensores De Belgrano vs San Miguel
| Probability | Defensores De Belgrano | Draw | San Miguel |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.6% | 29.1% | 16.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 54.6% | 29.1% | 16.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Defensores De Belgrano
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.45 vs 0.68.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Defensores De Belgrano vs San Miguel match preview
Defensores De Belgrano enters the match against San Miguel with a probability of 55% to win, while San Miguel has a 16% chance of victory and a draw stands at 29%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of Defensores De Belgrano, occurring at a rate of 16%. The expected goals for Defensores De Belgrano are 1.46, compared to San Miguel's 0.68, indicating a significant disparity in attacking potential.
Recent form shows Defensores De Belgrano with two wins in their last six matches (D-L-D-L-W-W), while San Miguel has struggled, managing only two draws in their last six (L-D-L-L-D-D). In their last head-to-head encounter, there was one draw, with neither team securing a win. The confidence grade for this match is C, reflecting moderate certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Defensores De Belgrano and San Miguel expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.14
Defensores De Belgrano and San Miguel attack and defence ratings
Defensores De Belgrano
San Miguel
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 35 fixtures
- Patronato vs Agropecuario
- Temperley v Chacarita Juniors — match page
- Gimnasia Jujuy v Atlanta — match page
- Atletico Mitre vs Godoy Cruz — team news & stats
- Central Norte vs Acassuso — team news & stats
- Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atlético Güemes
- Midland vs Gimnasia Y Tiro — team news & stats
- Nueva Chicago v San Martin S.J. — match page
Before and after this match
Defensores De Belgrano vs San Miguel markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Defensores De Belgrano | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.7% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Defensores De Belgrano | 54.6% |
| Draw | 29.1% | |
| San Miguel | 16.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.0% |
| No | 61.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Defensores De Belgrano win | 28.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.1% | |
| Loss | 45.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 16.0% |
| 0-0 | 13.0% | |
| 1-1 | 12.9% |
Defensores De Belgrano vs San Miguel stats
Defensores De Belgrano and San Miguel recent form
| Defensores De Belgrano |
DLDLWW |
| San Miguel |
LDLLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Defensores De Belgrano and San Miguel season so far
Defensores De Belgrano record
- They have won 8 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 16 of 34 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
San Miguel record
- They have won 6 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 34 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Defensores De Belgrano vs San Miguel head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | San Miguel | Defensores De Belgrano | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2018-04-06 | San Miguel | Defensores De Belgrano | Primera B Metropolitana | 0-0 |
| 2017-11-18 | Defensores De Belgrano | San Miguel | Primera B Metropolitana | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.