San Telmo
vs
Defensores De Belgrano
0 – 0 Full time
| 46′ | E. GonzalezF. Tcherkaski | ||
| 55′ | P. MoyanoL. Ciccolini | ||
| 55′ | L. Jerez SilvaG. Gamarra | ||
| 63′ | M. BatalliniJ. Iritier | ||
| 63′ | P. RomeroG. Paredes | ||
| 70′ | M. GonzalezC. Nunez | ||
| 70′ | J. PortoI. Larthirigoyen | ||
| 75′ | N. MolinaR. Gamarra |
San Telmo vs Defensores De Belgrano overview
Garuda Lions analysis: San Telmo vs Defensores De Belgrano
| Probability | San Telmo | Draw | Defensores De Belgrano |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.4% | 28.9% | 20.7% |
| Market | 28.0% | 41.6% | 30.3% |
| Final | 33.6% | 38.4% | 27.9% |
| Edge | +5.6% | -3.2% | -2.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
San Telmo and Defensores De Belgrano expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.34
San Telmo and Defensores De Belgrano attack and defence ratings
San Telmo
Defensores De Belgrano
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
San Telmo vs Defensores De Belgrano: result vs prediction
San Telmo 0 – 0 Defensores De Belgrano
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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Before and after this match
San Telmo vs Defensores De Belgrano markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 38.4% | 2.60 | -3.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.6% | 2.02 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San Telmo | 33.6% |
| Draw | 38.4% | |
| Defensores De Belgrano | 27.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.8% |
| No | 54.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 61.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | San Telmo win | 26.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.2% | |
| Loss | 49.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 1-0 | 13.0% | |
| 0-0 | 10.9% |
San Telmo vs Defensores De Belgrano stats
San Telmo and Defensores De Belgrano recent form
| LWWLWD | |
| LDLWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
San Telmo and Defensores De Belgrano going into this match
San Telmo record
- They have won 9 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 16 of 33 matches.
Defensores De Belgrano record
- They have won 8 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 15 of 33 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
San Telmo vs Defensores De Belgrano head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Defensores De Belgrano | San Telmo | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-07-31 | Defensores De Belgrano | San Telmo | Primera Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2025-02-23 | San Telmo | Defensores De Belgrano | Primera Nacional | 0-3 |
| 2024-08-18 | San Telmo | Defensores De Belgrano | Primera Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2024-04-01 | Defensores De Belgrano | San Telmo | Primera Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2023-06-18 | Defensores De Belgrano | San Telmo | Primera Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2023-02-11 | San Telmo | Defensores De Belgrano | Primera Nacional | 2-2 |
| 2022-08-14 | Defensores De Belgrano | San Telmo | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2021-09-19 | San Telmo | Defensores De Belgrano | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2021-05-10 | Defensores De Belgrano | San Telmo | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
San Telmo vs Defensores De Belgrano odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.0%, draw 41.6%, away 30.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.20 | 2.14 | 2.96 |
| Bet365 | 3.30 | 2.10 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 2.63 | 2.75 |
| Betano | 3.30 | 1.95 | 3.30 |
| Betfair | 3.40 | 2.10 | 2.90 |
| Dafabet | 3.25 | 2.30 | 3.05 |
| Marathonbet | 3.20 | 2.14 | 2.96 |
| Pinnacle | 3.07 | 2.17 | 3.03 |
| SBO | 2.91 | 2.30 | 2.69 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 2.50 | 2.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .