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Primera Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 33

Defensores De Belgrano vs Acassuso

0 – 3 Full time

25′D. Escalante
35′K. Dubini
38′A. Hermoso
39′A. Benitez
42′T. Rodriguez
55′A. BenitezL. Landriel
58′R. ReynosoN. Acosta
63′I. GutierrezJ. Ardaiz
63′A. HermosoV. Serrano
70′N. Acosta
79′D. MagallanesF. Tcherkaski
79′I. PerezL. Ciccolini
84′D. EscalanteJ. Raccio
84′K. DubiniN. Petillo
84′T. RodriguezY. Gomez

Estadio Juan Pasquale, Belgrano

Defensores De Belgrano 56%
Draw 28%
Acassuso 16%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Defensores De Belgrano vs Acassuso overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Defensores De Belgrano vs Acassuso

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDefensores De BelgranoDrawAcassuso
Model52.8%32.0%15.2%
Market56.4%26.9%16.7%
Final55.5%28.2%16.3%
Edge-0.9%+1.3%-0.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Defensores De Belgrano

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.27 vs 0.56.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Defensores De ↓ / Acassuso → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 17% 1 19% 13% 2 13% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 83%
2+ goals 56%
3+ goals 28%
No goals 17%

Defensores De Belgrano and Acassuso expected goals

Defensores De Belgrano 1.27
Acassuso 0.56

Total expected goals: 1.82

Defensores De Belgrano and Acassuso attack and defence ratings

Defensores De Belgrano

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Acassuso

Attack 0.76 -24%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Defensores De Belgrano vs Acassuso: result vs prediction

Defensores De Belgrano 0 – 3 Acassuso

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 33 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

Defensores De Belgrano vs Acassuso markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Defensores De Belgrano 55.5% 1.80 -0.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 72.4% 1.38 — —
Both teams to score No 68.2% 1.47 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.7% 1.19 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.2% 2.12 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Defensores De Belgrano55.5%
Draw28.2%
Acassuso16.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.527.6%
Under 2.572.4%
Both teams to scoreYes31.8%
No68.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.7%
12 (either side)71.8%
X2 (draw or away)44.5%
Handicap -1Defensores De Belgrano win25.4%
Push (exactly one goal)27.4%
Loss47.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-019.3%
0-017.3%
2-013.0%

Defensores De Belgrano vs Acassuso stats

Defensores De Belgrano and Acassuso recent form

newest first
Defensores De Belgrano DLWWDW
Acassuso LWWLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Defensores De Belgrano and Acassuso going into this match

league record before kick-off

Defensores De Belgrano record

  • They have won 8 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 32 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 14 of 32 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Acassuso record

  • They have won 7 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 32 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 18 of 32 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

Defensores De Belgrano vs Acassuso head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Defensores De Belgrano wins 5Draws 2Acassuso wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-24AcassusoDefensores De BelgranoPrimera Nacional1-0
2018-02-08AcassusoDefensores De BelgranoPrimera B Metropolitana0-0
2017-09-13Defensores De BelgranoAcassusoPrimera B Metropolitana2-1
2017-06-04AcassusoDefensores De BelgranoPrimera B Metropolitana0-0
2016-11-19Defensores De BelgranoAcassusoPrimera B Metropolitana1-0
2015-07-08Defensores De BelgranoAcassusoPrimera B Metropolitana0-0
2015-02-23AcassusoDefensores De BelgranoPrimera B Metropolitana1-3
2014-02-16Defensores De BelgranoAcassusoPrimera B Metropolitana0-0
2013-08-19AcassusoDefensores De BelgranoPrimera B Metropolitana2-2
2013-02-24AcassusoDefensores De BelgranoPrimera B Metropolitana2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Defensores De Belgrano vs Acassuso odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 56.4%, draw 26.9%, away 16.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.59 3.40 5.48
Bet365 1.65 3.40 5.75
BetVictor 1.62 3.50 6.00
Betano 1.65 3.35 5.70
Betfair 1.60 3.40 5.00
Dafabet 1.65 3.55 5.40
Marathonbet 1.57 3.40 5.35
Pinnacle 1.63 3.62 5.97
SBO 1.58 3.16 4.94
William Hill 1.62 3.30 5.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.62 ▼ -0.08
X 3.40 ▲ +0.15
2 5.49 ▲ +0.29

13 snapshots recorded, from .