Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 32
Chaco For Ever
vs
Defensores De Belgrano
2 – 2 Full time
| 11′ | B. Nievas | ||
| 31′ | L. Mihovilcevich | ||
| 44′ | L. Ciccolini | ||
| 45′ | B. Nievas | ||
| 53′ | L. Jerez Silva | ||
| 60′ | I. GutierrezA. Benitez | ||
| 60′ | L. CiccoliniJ. Ardaiz | ||
| 63′ | A. Benitez | ||
| 68′ | A. Benitez | ||
| 69′ | E. GaggiS. Valenzuela | ||
| 69′ | M. Diaz ChavesA. Lioi | ||
| 72′ | P. MoyanoD. Garcia | ||
| 73′ | M. S. RomeroE. Pacheco | ||
| 73′ | B. NievasF. Moreno | ||
| 82′ | L. FernandezM. Silvera | ||
| 83′ | J. De TomassoF. Tcherkaski | ||
| 85′ | E. Aguirre | ||
| 88′ | R. Garay |
Chaco For Ever
47%
Draw
33%
Defensores De Belgrano
20%
Chaco For Ever vs Defensores De Belgrano overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chaco For Ever vs Defensores De Belgrano
| Probability | Chaco For Ever | Draw | Defensores De Belgrano |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.9% | 33.8% | 13.3% |
| Market | 45.1% | 32.1% | 22.8% |
| Final | 47.1% | 32.5% | 20.4% |
| Edge | +7.8% | +1.6% | -9.5% |
Why Chaco For Ever
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.17 vs 0.46.
- The market prices Chaco For Ever below the model: +7.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
79%
2+ goals
49%
3+ goals
22%
No goals
21%
Chaco For Ever and Defensores De Belgrano expected goals
Chaco For Ever
1.17
Defensores De Belgrano
0.46
Total expected goals: 1.62
Chaco For Ever and Defensores De Belgrano attack and defence ratings
Chaco For Ever
Attack
1.06 +6%
Defence
0.70 -30%
Defensores De Belgrano
Attack
0.92 -8%
Defence
0.96 -4%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Chaco For Ever vs Defensores De Belgrano: result vs prediction
Chaco For Ever 2 – 2 Defensores De Belgrano
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 32 fixtures
- Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Madryn — team news & stats
- Colon Santa Fe vs CA Estudiantes — team news & stats
- Temperley vs Gimnasia Jujuy
- Deportivo Moron v All Boys — match page
- Tristan Suarez vs Quilmes — team news & stats
- Acassuso vs Ciudad de Bolívar
- San Miguel vs Atletico Mitre — team news & stats
- Agropecuario vs Midland — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Chaco For Ever vs Defensores De Belgrano markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chaco For Ever | 47.1% | 2.12 | +7.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chaco For Ever | 47.1% |
| Draw | 32.5% | |
| Defensores De Belgrano | 20.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 22.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 77.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 26.2% |
| No | 73.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Chaco For Ever win | 24.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 28.7% | |
| Loss | 47.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 22.0% |
| 0-0 | 20.8% | |
| 2-0 | 13.5% |
Chaco For Ever vs Defensores De Belgrano stats
Chaco For Ever and Defensores De Belgrano recent form
| Chaco For Ever |
LWDWDW |
| Defensores De Belgrano |
LWWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Chaco For Ever and Defensores De Belgrano going into this match
Chaco For Ever record
- They have won 9 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
Defensores De Belgrano record
- They have won 8 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Chaco For Ever vs Defensores De Belgrano head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
3Chaco For Ever wins
3Draws
0Defensores De Belgrano wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-18 | Defensores De Belgrano | Chaco For Ever | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Defensores De Belgrano | Chaco For Ever | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2025-05-13 | Chaco For Ever | Defensores De Belgrano | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2024-08-11 | Defensores De Belgrano | Chaco For Ever | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2024-03-26 | Chaco For Ever | Defensores De Belgrano | Primera Nacional | 3-0 |
| 2022-08-07 | Chaco For Ever | Defensores De Belgrano | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Chaco For Ever vs Defensores De Belgrano odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.1%, draw 32.1%, away 22.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.05 | 3.18 | 4.06 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 2.88 | 4.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 2.90 | 4.10 |
| Betano | 2.05 | 2.80 | 4.25 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 2.88 | 3.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.96 | 2.79 | 4.00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.14 | 2.79 | 4.43 |
| SBO | 2.00 | 2.70 | 3.59 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 2.90 | 3.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.05 ▼ -0.05
X
2.88 ▲ +0.08
2
4.06 ▲ +0.36
12 snapshots recorded, from .