Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 31
Defensores De Belgrano
vs
Ferro Carril Oeste
0 – 1 Full time
| 10′ | E. Dening | ||
| 46′ | L. ParisiL. Marra | ||
| 46′ | A. BenitezL. Ciccolini | ||
| 69′ | E. HoyosS. Garcia | ||
| 77′ | A. GonzalezS. Corda | ||
| 78′ | B. GomezL. Landriel | ||
| 78′ | I. PerezJ. Ardaiz | ||
| 80′ | F. Monetti | ||
| 89′ | E. OzunaM. Taron | ||
| 89′ | E. DeningG. Olguin | ||
| 90′ | L. Marra | ||
| 90′ | I. GutierrezD. Garcia | ||
| 90′ | P. MoyanoF. Tcherkaski |
Defensores De Belgrano
35%
Draw
36%
Ferro Carril Oeste
29%
Defensores De Belgrano vs Ferro Carril Oeste overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Defensores De Belgrano vs Ferro Carril Oeste
| Probability | Defensores De Belgrano | Draw | Ferro Carril Oeste |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.7% | 34.7% | 25.6% |
| Market | 33.8% | 35.8% | 30.4% |
| Final | 35.3% | 35.5% | 29.2% |
| Edge | +5.9% | -1.1% | -4.8% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
83%
2+ goals
56%
3+ goals
28%
No goals
17%
Defensores De Belgrano and Ferro Carril Oeste expected goals
Defensores De Belgrano
1.05
Ferro Carril Oeste
0.79
Total expected goals: 1.84
Defensores De Belgrano and Ferro Carril Oeste attack and defence ratings
Defensores De Belgrano
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
0.93 -7%
Ferro Carril Oeste
Attack
1.21 +21%
Defence
0.92 -8%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Defensores De Belgrano vs Ferro Carril Oeste: result vs prediction
Defensores De Belgrano 0 – 1 Ferro Carril Oeste
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 31 fixtures
- CA Estudiantes v San Miguel — match page
- Almirante Brown vs Acassuso
- All Boys v Colon Santa Fe — match page
- Quilmes v Club Atlético Güemes — match page
- Ciudad de Bolívar vs Chaco For Ever — team news & stats
- Deportivo Madryn vs Central Norte
- Colegiales v Chacarita Juniors — match page
- Almagro vs Nueva Chicago — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Defensores De Belgrano vs Ferro Carril Oeste markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 35.5% | 2.82 | -1.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Defensores De Belgrano | 35.3% |
| Draw | 35.5% | |
| Ferro Carril Oeste | 29.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 28.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 72.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.8% |
| No | 63.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 64.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Defensores De Belgrano win | 16.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.3% | |
| Loss | 60.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 17.2% |
| 1-0 | 15.4% | |
| 1-1 | 14.5% |
Defensores De Belgrano vs Ferro Carril Oeste stats
Defensores De Belgrano and Ferro Carril Oeste recent form
| Defensores De Belgrano |
WWDWLL |
| Ferro Carril Oeste |
WDDDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Defensores De Belgrano and Ferro Carril Oeste going into this match
Defensores De Belgrano record
- They have won 8 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 30 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ferro Carril Oeste record
- They have won 17 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Defensores De Belgrano vs Ferro Carril Oeste head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
1Defensores De Belgrano wins
2Draws
2Ferro Carril Oeste wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 | Ferro Carril Oeste | Defensores De Belgrano | Primera Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2022-04-26 | Defensores De Belgrano | Ferro Carril Oeste | Primera Nacional | 2-2 |
| 2021-10-31 | Defensores De Belgrano | Ferro Carril Oeste | Primera Nacional | 0-2 |
| 2021-07-04 | Ferro Carril Oeste | Defensores De Belgrano | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2018-12-07 | Defensores De Belgrano | Ferro Carril Oeste | Primera Nacional | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Defensores De Belgrano vs Ferro Carril Oeste odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.8%, draw 35.8%, away 30.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.66 | 2.49 | 2.94 |
| Bet365 | 2.60 | 2.62 | 3.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 2.70 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.77 | 2.55 | 3.05 |
| Betfair | 2.70 | 2.63 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.66 | 2.49 | 2.94 |
| Pinnacle | 2.91 | 2.60 | 3.11 |
| SBO | 2.54 | 2.54 | 2.77 |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 2.50 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.70 ▼ -0.10
X
2.55 ▲ +0.10
2
3.00 ▲ +0.04
12 snapshots recorded, from .