Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 30
Central Norte
vs
Defensores De Belgrano
0 – 1 Full time
| 18′ | P. Moyano | ||
| 44′ | L. Jerez Silva | ||
| 46′ | G. MancusoT. Castro | ||
| 46′ | P. SanzA. Aleo | ||
| 48′ | E. Calderon | ||
| 62′ | P. MoyanoL. Ciccolini | ||
| 64′ | E. BodencerM. Moravec | ||
| 64′ | S. QuirogaK. Isa Luna | ||
| 71′ | E. AguirreA. Benitez | ||
| 71′ | L. LandrielJ. Ardaiz | ||
| 71′ | M. Rosales | ||
| 78′ | M. VillarrealJ. Mateo | ||
| 83′ | I. GutierrezD. Garcia | ||
| 83′ | E. GonzalezF. Tcherkaski |
Central Norte
40%
Draw
38%
Defensores De Belgrano
22%
Central Norte vs Defensores De Belgrano overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Central Norte vs Defensores De Belgrano
| Probability | Central Norte | Draw | Defensores De Belgrano |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.1% | 37.7% | 22.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 40.1% | 37.7% | 22.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Central Norte
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 0.94 vs 0.62.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
78%
2+ goals
47%
3+ goals
21%
No goals
22%
Central Norte and Defensores De Belgrano expected goals
Central Norte
0.94
Defensores De Belgrano
0.62
Total expected goals: 1.56
Central Norte and Defensores De Belgrano attack and defence ratings
Central Norte
Attack
0.81 -19%
Defence
0.89 -11%
Defensores De Belgrano
Attack
0.99 -1%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Central Norte vs Defensores De Belgrano: result vs prediction
Central Norte 0 – 1 Defensores De Belgrano
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
- Acassuso vs Atletico Mitre
- Ferro Carril Oeste v Ciudad de Bolívar — match page
- San Telmo v CA Estudiantes — match page
- San Miguel vs All Boys — team news & stats
- Temperley vs Almagro — team news & stats
- Atletico DE Rafaela vs San Martin Tucuman — team news & stats
- Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes
- Agropecuario v Gimnasia Y Tiro — match page
Before and after this match
Central Norte vs Defensores De Belgrano markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Central Norte | 40.1% | 2.49 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.8% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Central Norte | 40.1% |
| Draw | 37.7% | |
| Defensores De Belgrano | 22.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 20.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 79.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 29.4% |
| No | 70.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 62.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Central Norte win | 15.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.8% | |
| Loss | 59.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 22.3% |
| 1-0 | 18.5% | |
| 1-1 | 13.5% |
Central Norte vs Defensores De Belgrano stats
Central Norte and Defensores De Belgrano recent form
| Central Norte |
DDDDWD |
| Defensores De Belgrano |
WDWLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Central Norte and Defensores De Belgrano going into this match
Central Norte record
- They have won 6 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 29 matches.
Defensores De Belgrano record
- They have won 7 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 29 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Central Norte vs Defensores De Belgrano head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
1Central Norte wins
1Draws
1Defensores De Belgrano wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Defensores De Belgrano | Central Norte | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-27 | Defensores De Belgrano | Central Norte | Primera Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2025-05-25 | Central Norte | Defensores De Belgrano | Primera Nacional | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.