Primera Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 30

Temperley vs Almagro

3 – 1 Full time

3′B. Negro
6′F. De La Vega
9′G. TomasettiF. Brandan
19′M. Calzon
29′A. ArreguiN. Avalos
39′J. Flores
42′N. Avalos
43′G. Hauche
45′F. Brandan
56′F. Kruger
59′E. Martinez
65′F. Kruger
67′E. MartinezJ. Bustos
67′J. OrlandoT. Dornell
67′J. FloresG. Asis
72′F. BenitezD. Trebotic
72′G. HaucheA. Melo
72′F. KrugerL. Nieto
80′J. MarchioniJ. Fernandes
80′F. De La VegaC. Salto
82′S. Chamorro

Estadio Alfredo Beranger, Turdera

Temperley 57%
Draw 27%
Almagro 16%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Temperley vs Almagro overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Temperley vs Almagro

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTemperleyDrawAlmagro
Model70.5%21.2%8.4%
Market52.5%29.2%18.4%
Final57.0%27.2%15.9%
Edge+18.0%-8.0%-10.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Temperley

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.97 vs 0.54.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Temperley below the model: +18.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Temperley ↓ / Almagro → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 15% 10% 2 16% 9% 3 10% 4+ 8%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

Temperley and Almagro expected goals

Temperley 1.97
Almagro 0.54

Total expected goals: 2.51

Temperley and Almagro attack and defence ratings

Temperley

Attack 1.45 +45%
Defence 0.72 -28%

Almagro

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 1.18 +18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Temperley vs Almagro: result vs prediction

Temperley 3 – 1 Almagro

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 30 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

Temperley vs Almagro markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Temperley 57.0% 1.76 +18.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 54.1% 1.85 — —
Both teams to score No 63.1% 1.58 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 84.1% 1.19 — —
Handicap -1 Temperley win 45.2% 2.21 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Temperley57.0%
Draw27.2%
Almagro15.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545.9%
Under 2.554.1%
Both teams to scoreYes36.9%
No63.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)84.1%
12 (either side)72.8%
X2 (draw or away)43.0%
Handicap -1Temperley win45.2%
Push (exactly one goal)25.3%
Loss29.5%
Correct score (top 3)2-015.7%
1-015.1%
3-010.3%

Temperley vs Almagro stats

Temperley and Almagro recent form

newest first
Temperley DWWWWL
Almagro DLWDLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Temperley and Almagro going into this match

league record before kick-off

Temperley record

  • They have won 13 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 29 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Almagro record

  • They have won 9 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 12 of 29 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).

Temperley vs Almagro head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Temperley wins 4Draws 3Almagro wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-03AlmagroTemperleyPrimera Nacional1-1
2024-07-06AlmagroTemperleyPrimera Nacional0-0
2024-02-17TemperleyAlmagroPrimera Nacional4-1
2023-07-29TemperleyAlmagroPrimera Nacional3-1
2023-03-26AlmagroTemperleyPrimera Nacional2-0
2022-08-01AlmagroTemperleyPrimera Nacional1-1
2019-04-13AlmagroTemperleyPrimera Nacional2-1
2014-05-17TemperleyAlmagroPrimera B Metropolitana0-0
2013-12-04AlmagroTemperleyPrimera B Metropolitana1-2
2013-02-23AlmagroTemperleyPrimera B Metropolitana1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Temperley vs Almagro odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 52.4%, draw 29.3%, away 18.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.73 3.08 4.93
Bet365 1.80 3.20 5.00
BetVictor 1.75 3.20 5.25
Betano 1.78 3.15 5.00
Betfair 1.75 3.00 4.75
Marathonbet 1.71 3.08 4.80
Pinnacle 1.76 3.33 5.34
William Hill 1.75 3.10 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.75 ▲ +0.02
X 3.15 ▲ +0.05
2 5.00 —

12 snapshots recorded, from .