Almagro
vs
Deportivo Maipu
2 – 2 Full time
| 16′ | M. Bonfigli | ||
| 18′ | F. De La Vega | ||
| 31′ | F. De La Vega | ||
| 39′ | M. Bonfigli | ||
| 46′ | T. DornellJ. Bustos | ||
| 58′ | L. CabreraJ. Giacone | ||
| 58′ | T. SilvaD. Yavante Gaitan | ||
| 58′ | J. VeraJ. C. Arno | ||
| 74′ | B. Negro | ||
| 74′ | F. De La VegaC. Salto | ||
| 74′ | E. MartinezT. Canale | ||
| 78′ | N. Tolosa | ||
| 80′ | M. BonfigliM. Viguet | ||
| 81′ | N. TolosaE. Silcan | ||
| 81′ | T. MaciesJ. Fernandes | ||
| 90′ | J. de la RetaN. Fernandez |
Almagro vs Deportivo Maipu overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Almagro vs Deportivo Maipu
| Probability | Almagro | Draw | Deportivo Maipu |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.9% | 35.5% | 26.6% |
| Market | 38.7% | 32.3% | 29.0% |
| Final | 38.5% | 33.1% | 28.4% |
| Edge | -0.7% | +3.1% | -2.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Almagro and Deportivo Maipu expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.78
Almagro and Deportivo Maipu attack and defence ratings
Almagro
Deportivo Maipu
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Almagro vs Deportivo Maipu: result vs prediction
Almagro 2 – 2 Deportivo Maipu
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
Before and after this match
Almagro vs Deportivo Maipu markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Almagro | 38.5% | 2.60 | -0.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 64.3% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Almagro | 38.5% |
| Draw | 33.1% | |
| Deportivo Maipu | 28.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 26.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 73.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 35.7% |
| No | 64.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Almagro win | 15.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.9% | |
| Loss | 62.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 18.1% |
| 1-0 | 15.4% | |
| 1-1 | 14.5% |
Almagro vs Deportivo Maipu stats
Almagro and Deportivo Maipu recent form
| Almagro |
LWDLDL |
| Deportivo Maipu |
DLWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Almagro and Deportivo Maipu going into this match
Almagro record
- They have won 9 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
Deportivo Maipu record
- They have won 11 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 28 matches.
Almagro vs Deportivo Maipu head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Deportivo Maipu | Almagro | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-07-05 | Almagro | Deportivo Maipu | Primera Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2025-03-02 | Deportivo Maipu | Almagro | Primera Nacional | 3-1 |
| 2022-09-18 | Almagro | Deportivo Maipu | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Almagro vs Deportivo Maipu odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.5%, draw 32.2%, away 29.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.37 | 2.73 | 3.21 |
| 888Sport | 2.50 | 2.63 | 3.10 |
| Bet365 | 2.40 | 2.88 | 3.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.40 | 2.90 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 2.40 | 2.87 | 3.15 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 2.88 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.45 | 2.85 | 3.15 |
| Marathonbet | 2.35 | 2.73 | 3.14 |
| Pinnacle | 2.47 | 2.90 | 3.34 |
| SBO | 2.26 | 2.72 | 2.94 |
| Superbet | 2.47 | 2.87 | 3.15 |
| Unibet | 2.50 | 3.05 | 2.90 |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 2.75 | 3.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .