Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 30
Deportivo Maipu
vs
Gimnasia Jujuy
1 – 1 Full time
| 46′ | T. Silva | ||
| 56′ | D. LopezO. Bianchi | ||
| 57′ | F. Paradela | ||
| 61′ | N. FernandezJ. de la Reta | ||
| 62′ | J. GiaconeL. Cabrera | ||
| 67′ | F. CamargoD. Minervino | ||
| 69′ | T. SilvaA. Vera | ||
| 75′ | J. GobettoB. Orosco | ||
| 81′ | F. ParadelaA. Alonso | ||
| 81′ | D. GallardoA. Arganaraz | ||
| 81′ | E. EndrizziM. Lazarte |
Deportivo Maipu
48%
Draw
28%
Gimnasia Jujuy
24%
Deportivo Maipu vs Gimnasia Jujuy overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Maipu vs Gimnasia Jujuy
| Probability | Deportivo Maipu | Draw | Gimnasia Jujuy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.7% | 26.0% | 22.3% |
| Market | 46.4% | 29.1% | 24.5% |
| Final | 47.7% | 28.4% | 23.9% |
| Edge | +5.3% | -3.1% | -2.2% |
Why Deportivo Maipu
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 1.06.
- The market prices Deportivo Maipu below the model: +5.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
78%
3+ goals
53%
No goals
7%
Deportivo Maipu and Gimnasia Jujuy expected goals
Deportivo Maipu
1.73
Gimnasia Jujuy
1.06
Total expected goals: 2.79
Deportivo Maipu and Gimnasia Jujuy attack and defence ratings
Deportivo Maipu
Attack
1.14 +14%
Defence
1.02 +2%
Gimnasia Jujuy
Attack
1.48 +48%
Defence
1.32 +32%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Deportivo Maipu vs Gimnasia Jujuy: result vs prediction
Deportivo Maipu 1 – 1 Gimnasia Jujuy
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
- Acassuso vs Atletico Mitre
- Ferro Carril Oeste v Ciudad de Bolívar — match page
- San Telmo v CA Estudiantes — match page
- San Miguel vs All Boys — team news & stats
- Temperley vs Almagro — team news & stats
- Atletico DE Rafaela vs San Martin Tucuman — team news & stats
- Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes
- Agropecuario v Gimnasia Y Tiro — match page
Before and after this match
Deportivo Maipu vs Gimnasia Jujuy markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Maipu | 47.7% | 2.10 | +5.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.1% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.2% | 2.07 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Maipu | 47.7% |
| Draw | 28.4% | |
| Gimnasia Jujuy | 23.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.1% |
| No | 44.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Maipu win | 29.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.7% | |
| Loss | 48.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 1-0 | 9.4% |
Deportivo Maipu vs Gimnasia Jujuy stats
Deportivo Maipu and Gimnasia Jujuy recent form
| Deportivo Maipu |
DDLWWL |
| Gimnasia Jujuy |
WWDDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Deportivo Maipu and Gimnasia Jujuy going into this match
Deportivo Maipu record
- They have won 11 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 29 matches.
Gimnasia Jujuy record
- They have won 15 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Deportivo Maipu vs Gimnasia Jujuy head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
3Deportivo Maipu wins
1Draws
2Gimnasia Jujuy wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Gimnasia Jujuy | Deportivo Maipu | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2024-09-15 | Deportivo Maipu | Gimnasia Jujuy | Primera Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2024-04-28 | Gimnasia Jujuy | Deportivo Maipu | Primera Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2023-08-20 | Gimnasia Jujuy | Deportivo Maipu | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2023-04-07 | Deportivo Maipu | Gimnasia Jujuy | Primera Nacional | 3-2 |
| 2022-07-31 | Deportivo Maipu | Gimnasia Jujuy | Primera Nacional | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Deportivo Maipu vs Gimnasia Jujuy odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.4%, draw 29.1%, away 24.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.93 | 3.05 | 3.84 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.25 | 3.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.75 |
| Betano | 1.98 | 3.15 | 3.90 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.25 | 3.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.91 | 3.05 | 3.74 |
| Pinnacle | 2.01 | 3.24 | 4.07 |
| SBO | 1.98 | 2.98 | 3.25 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.10 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.98 ▼ -0.09
X
3.15 ▲ +0.20
2
3.75 ▲ +0.15
12 snapshots recorded, from .