Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 30
San Telmo
vs
CA Estudiantes
0 – 1 Full time
| 18′ | R. Uriburu | ||
| 25′ | Caro Nicolas | ||
| 51′ | G. ParedesR. Gamarra | ||
| 60′ | E. Diaz | ||
| 63′ | D. Rostagno | ||
| 66′ | Caro NicolasB. Bernardi | ||
| 67′ | F. Ardiles | ||
| 67′ | F. ArdilesF. Dure | ||
| 70′ | P. Romero | ||
| 72′ | P. RomeroJ. Gonzalez | ||
| 73′ | M. BatalliniI. Larthirigoyen | ||
| 73′ | R. UriburuJ. Porto | ||
| 74′ | D. RostagnoI. Vera | ||
| 74′ | E. AcostaE. Almiron | ||
| 79′ | J. MotroniF. Baez | ||
| 81′ | M. AcostaB. Sanchez de Leon | ||
| 83′ | F. Quinteros | ||
| 90′ | L. Pollacchi |
San Telmo
31%
Draw
34%
CA Estudiantes
35%
San Telmo vs CA Estudiantes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: San Telmo vs CA Estudiantes
| Probability | San Telmo | Draw | CA Estudiantes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.2% | 34.1% | 33.7% |
| Market | 30.7% | 33.6% | 35.7% |
| Final | 31.0% | 33.7% | 35.2% |
| Edge | +1.5% | +0.4% | -2.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
84%
2+ goals
59%
3+ goals
31%
No goals
16%
San Telmo and CA Estudiantes expected goals
San Telmo
0.96
CA Estudiantes
0.99
Total expected goals: 1.94
San Telmo and CA Estudiantes attack and defence ratings
San Telmo
Attack
0.87 -13%
Defence
1.24 +24%
CA Estudiantes
Attack
1.13 +13%
Defence
0.96 -4%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
San Telmo vs CA Estudiantes: result vs prediction
San Telmo 0 – 1 CA Estudiantes
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
- Acassuso vs Atletico Mitre
- Ferro Carril Oeste v Ciudad de Bolívar — match page
- San Miguel vs All Boys — team news & stats
- Temperley vs Almagro — team news & stats
- Atletico DE Rafaela vs San Martin Tucuman — team news & stats
- Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes
- Agropecuario v Gimnasia Y Tiro — match page
- Deportivo Moron vs Godoy Cruz
Before and after this match
San Telmo vs CA Estudiantes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CA Estudiantes | 35.2% | 2.84 | -2.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 69.2% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San Telmo | 31.0% |
| Draw | 33.7% | |
| CA Estudiantes | 35.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 30.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 69.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.0% |
| No | 60.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | CA Estudiantes win | 13.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 66.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 15.7% |
| 1-1 | 14.9% | |
| 0-1 | 12.8% |
San Telmo vs CA Estudiantes stats
San Telmo and CA Estudiantes recent form
| San Telmo |
WDLWDL |
| CA Estudiantes |
WLDLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
San Telmo and CA Estudiantes going into this match
San Telmo record
- They have won 7 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 29 matches.
CA Estudiantes record
- They have won 10 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
San Telmo vs CA Estudiantes head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3San Telmo wins
1Draws
6CA Estudiantes wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | CA Estudiantes | San Telmo | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2025-07-26 | CA Estudiantes | San Telmo | Primera Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2025-03-22 | San Telmo | CA Estudiantes | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2022-09-24 | CA Estudiantes | San Telmo | Primera Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2019-04-29 | San Telmo | CA Estudiantes | Primera B Metropolitana | 2-1 |
| 2018-11-20 | CA Estudiantes | San Telmo | Primera B Metropolitana | 2-1 |
| 2018-02-10 | CA Estudiantes | San Telmo | Primera B Metropolitana | 2-0 |
| 2017-09-18 | San Telmo | CA Estudiantes | Primera B Metropolitana | 2-1 |
| 2017-05-05 | San Telmo | CA Estudiantes | Primera B Metropolitana | 0-1 |
| 2016-10-21 | CA Estudiantes | San Telmo | Primera B Metropolitana | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
San Telmo vs CA Estudiantes odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.6%, draw 33.2%, away 36.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.00 | 2.67 | 2.51 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 2.80 | 2.55 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| Betano | 3.25 | 2.72 | 2.47 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| Marathonbet | 2.92 | 2.67 | 2.49 |
| Pinnacle | 3.14 | 2.82 | 2.66 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 2.62 | 2.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
3.00 ▼ -0.17
X
2.73 ▼ -0.02
2
2.58 ▲ +0.12
12 snapshots recorded, from .