Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 29
CA Estudiantes
vs
Acassuso
1 – 0 Full time
| 14′ | Caro Nicolas | ||
| 29′ | F. Quinteros | ||
| 46′ | R. RodriguezE. Almiron | ||
| 69′ | R. MeloB. Sanchez de Leon | ||
| 69′ | M. AcostaS. Camacho | ||
| 69′ | E. AcostaI. Vera | ||
| 75′ | A. HermosoF. Senn | ||
| 75′ | T. RodriguezJ. Raccio | ||
| 76′ | D. Escalante | ||
| 81′ | F. DureM. Albarracin | ||
| 82′ | E. Almiron | ||
| 83′ | A. RuizV. Serrano | ||
| 86′ | N. AcostaR. Reynoso | ||
| 86′ | M. Albarracin | ||
| 90′ | N. PetilloA. Gonzalez |
CA Estudiantes
58%
Draw
28%
Acassuso
14%
CA Estudiantes vs Acassuso overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CA Estudiantes vs Acassuso
| Probability | CA Estudiantes | Draw | Acassuso |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62.2% | 26.0% | 11.8% |
| Market | 56.7% | 28.0% | 15.3% |
| Final | 58.1% | 27.5% | 14.4% |
| Edge | +5.5% | -2.0% | -3.5% |
Why CA Estudiantes
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.64 vs 0.58.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices CA Estudiantes below the model: +5.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
88%
2+ goals
66%
3+ goals
38%
No goals
12%
CA Estudiantes and Acassuso expected goals
CA Estudiantes
1.64
Acassuso
0.58
Total expected goals: 2.22
CA Estudiantes and Acassuso attack and defence ratings
CA Estudiantes
Attack
1.11 +11%
Defence
1.09 +9%
Acassuso
Attack
0.75 -25%
Defence
1.29 +29%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
CA Estudiantes vs Acassuso: result vs prediction
CA Estudiantes 1 – 0 Acassuso
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Tristan Suarez
- Atlanta vs Club Atlético Güemes — team news & stats
- Colegiales vs Nueva Chicago
- All Boys v San Telmo — match page
- Almagro vs Deportivo Maipu — team news & stats
- Ciudad de Bolívar v Central Norte — match page
- Quilmes v San Martin S.J. — match page
- Los Andes vs San Miguel
Before and after this match
CA Estudiantes vs Acassuso markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CA Estudiantes | 58.1% | 1.72 | +5.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.5% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 37.8% | 2.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CA Estudiantes | 58.1% |
| Draw | 27.5% | |
| Acassuso | 14.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.5% |
| No | 63.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | CA Estudiantes win | 35.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.7% | |
| Loss | 37.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 16.8% |
| 2-0 | 14.6% | |
| 0-0 | 11.9% |
CA Estudiantes vs Acassuso stats
CA Estudiantes and Acassuso recent form
| CA Estudiantes |
LDLWLD |
| Acassuso |
LDLLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CA Estudiantes and Acassuso going into this match
CA Estudiantes record
- They have won 9 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Acassuso record
- They have won 5 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 16 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
CA Estudiantes vs Acassuso head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
6CA Estudiantes wins
4Draws
0Acassuso wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Acassuso | CA Estudiantes | Primera Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2019-03-23 | Acassuso | CA Estudiantes | Primera B Metropolitana | 1-1 |
| 2018-10-16 | CA Estudiantes | Acassuso | Primera B Metropolitana | 2-1 |
| 2018-04-22 | Acassuso | CA Estudiantes | Primera B Metropolitana | 1-2 |
| 2017-12-06 | CA Estudiantes | Acassuso | Primera B Metropolitana | 0-0 |
| 2017-06-24 | CA Estudiantes | Acassuso | Primera B Metropolitana | 1-1 |
| 2016-12-10 | Acassuso | CA Estudiantes | Primera B Metropolitana | 1-1 |
| 2015-11-01 | Acassuso | CA Estudiantes | Primera B Metropolitana | 0-1 |
| 2015-06-16 | CA Estudiantes | Acassuso | Primera B Metropolitana | 1-0 |
| 2014-05-24 | Acassuso | CA Estudiantes | Primera B Metropolitana | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
CA Estudiantes vs Acassuso odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 56.7%, draw 27.9%, away 15.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.59 | 3.28 | 6.05 |
| 888Sport | 1.65 | 3.25 | 6.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 3.30 | 6.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.62 | 3.40 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.65 | 3.30 | 6.00 |
| Betfair | 1.65 | 3.25 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.62 | 3.40 | 6.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.57 | 3.28 | 5.95 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65 | 3.49 | 6.22 |
| SBO | 1.57 | 3.05 | 4.94 |
| Unibet | 1.63 | 3.35 | 5.30 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.25 | 5.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.62 ▼ -0.03
X
3.28 ▲ +0.03
2
6.00 ▲ +0.10
12 snapshots recorded, from .