Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 28
Chaco For Ever
vs
CA Estudiantes
1 – 0 Full time
| 12′ | D. Rostagno | ||
| 44′ | G. Pacheco | ||
| 55′ | G. Pacheco | ||
| 61′ | R. Garay | ||
| 62′ | R. GarayM. Silvera | ||
| 62′ | J. CerrudoM. Diaz Chaves | ||
| 62′ | E. AcostaI. Vera | ||
| 62′ | M. AcostaE. Almiron | ||
| 72′ | A. OjedaL. Pruzzo | ||
| 72′ | A. LioiG. Melgarejo | ||
| 77′ | F. DureS. Camacho | ||
| 77′ | R. MeloM. Nunez | ||
| 80′ | L. FernandezF. Moreno | ||
| 90′ | F. SenaT. Squie |
Chaco For Ever
45%
Draw
32%
CA Estudiantes
24%
Chaco For Ever vs CA Estudiantes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chaco For Ever vs CA Estudiantes
| Probability | Chaco For Ever | Draw | CA Estudiantes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.2% | 29.0% | 15.8% |
| Market | 41.0% | 32.9% | 26.1% |
| Final | 44.5% | 31.9% | 23.6% |
| Edge | +14.2% | -3.9% | -10.3% |
Why Chaco For Ever
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.46 vs 0.67.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Chaco For Ever below the model: +14.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
87%
2+ goals
64%
3+ goals
36%
No goals
13%
Chaco For Ever and CA Estudiantes expected goals
Chaco For Ever
1.46
CA Estudiantes
0.67
Total expected goals: 2.12
Chaco For Ever and CA Estudiantes attack and defence ratings
Chaco For Ever
Attack
1.16 +16%
Defence
0.76 -24%
CA Estudiantes
Attack
1.23 +23%
Defence
1.09 +9%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Chaco For Ever vs CA Estudiantes: result vs prediction
Chaco For Ever 1 – 0 CA Estudiantes
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
- Defensores De Belgrano vs Racing Cordoba
- Ferro Carril Oeste vs Atletico Mitre
- San Telmo vs Los Andes — team news & stats
- Tristan Suarez vs San Martin Tucuman
- Chacarita Juniors v Atlanta — match page
- Acassuso v All Boys — match page
- Colon Santa Fe vs Deportivo Moron — team news & stats
- Agropecuario vs Atletico DE Rafaela — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Chaco For Ever vs CA Estudiantes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chaco For Ever | 44.5% | 2.25 | +14.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chaco For Ever | 44.5% |
| Draw | 31.9% | |
| CA Estudiantes | 23.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.5% |
| No | 61.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Chaco For Ever win | 28.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.2% | |
| Loss | 44.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 16.3% |
| 0-0 | 13.1% | |
| 1-1 | 12.8% |
Chaco For Ever vs CA Estudiantes stats
Chaco For Ever and CA Estudiantes recent form
| Chaco For Ever |
DWWLLW |
| CA Estudiantes |
DLWLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Chaco For Ever and CA Estudiantes going into this match
Chaco For Ever record
- They have won 7 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
CA Estudiantes record
- They have won 9 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Chaco For Ever vs CA Estudiantes head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
2Chaco For Ever wins
2Draws
3CA Estudiantes wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | CA Estudiantes | Chaco For Ever | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2025-06-14 | CA Estudiantes | Chaco For Ever | Primera Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2025-02-08 | Chaco For Ever | CA Estudiantes | Primera Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2023-09-23 | Chaco For Ever | CA Estudiantes | Primera Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2023-05-16 | CA Estudiantes | Chaco For Ever | Primera Nacional | 3-0 |
| 2022-10-15 | CA Estudiantes | Chaco For Ever | Primera Nacional | 3-0 |
| 2022-09-18 | Chaco For Ever | CA Estudiantes | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Chaco For Ever vs CA Estudiantes odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.7%, draw 32.7%, away 26.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.21 | 2.80 | 3.46 |
| 888Sport | 2.30 | 2.75 | 3.40 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 2.75 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 2.27 | 2.82 | 3.50 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 2.80 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.28 | 2.80 | 3.55 |
| Marathonbet | 2.19 | 2.80 | 3.38 |
| Pinnacle | 2.28 | 3.00 | 3.59 |
| SBO | 2.13 | 2.62 | 3.13 |
| Unibet | 2.38 | 2.85 | 3.00 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 2.80 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.25 ▼ -0.05
X
2.80 ▲ +0.05
2
3.52 ▲ +0.14
12 snapshots recorded, from .