Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 27
CA Estudiantes
vs
Ferro Carril Oeste
2 – 2 Full time
| 17′ | E. Dening | ||
| 24′ | F. Dure | ||
| 37′ | J. CorreaI. Vera | ||
| 44′ | A. Gonzalez | ||
| 44′ | N. Gomez | ||
| 46′ | E. DeningF. Garcia | ||
| 46′ | N. GomezL. Marra | ||
| 54′ | E. Ozuna | ||
| 59′ | F. CuzzaniG. Castellani | ||
| 61′ | F. Garcia | ||
| 62′ | J. BenitezB. Bernardi | ||
| 63′ | M. AcostaD. Rostagno | ||
| 67′ | M. Taron | ||
| 69′ | F. Sena | ||
| 73′ | E. AcostaE. Almiron | ||
| 73′ | E. HoyosJ. Menendez | ||
| 74′ | F. DureL. Silva | ||
| 75′ | F. Garcia | ||
| 76′ | F. Garcia | ||
| 79′ | E. Almiron | ||
| 85′ | M. KabalinG. Olguin |
CA Estudiantes
37%
Draw
33%
Ferro Carril Oeste
29%
CA Estudiantes vs Ferro Carril Oeste overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CA Estudiantes vs Ferro Carril Oeste
| Probability | CA Estudiantes | Draw | Ferro Carril Oeste |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.4% | 29.7% | 25.9% |
| Market | 35.2% | 34.4% | 30.5% |
| Final | 37.5% | 33.2% | 29.3% |
| Edge | +9.2% | -4.6% | -4.6% |
Why CA Estudiantes
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.38 vs 0.99.
- The market prices CA Estudiantes below the model: +9.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
89%
2+ goals
70%
3+ goals
42%
No goals
11%
CA Estudiantes and Ferro Carril Oeste expected goals
CA Estudiantes
1.38
Ferro Carril Oeste
0.99
Total expected goals: 2.38
CA Estudiantes and Ferro Carril Oeste attack and defence ratings
CA Estudiantes
Attack
1.13 +13%
Defence
0.98 -2%
Ferro Carril Oeste
Attack
1.43 +43%
Defence
1.06 +6%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
CA Estudiantes vs Ferro Carril Oeste: result vs prediction
CA Estudiantes 2 – 2 Ferro Carril Oeste
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
- Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Chacarita Juniors
- Colegiales v Deportivo Maipu — match page
- Atletico DE Rafaela vs Tristan Suarez
- Ciudad de Bolívar v Defensores De Belgrano — match page
- Midland vs Nueva Chicago — team news & stats
- Atletico Mitre vs Central Norte — team news & stats
- Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn
- Patronato v Almagro — match page
Before and after this match
CA Estudiantes vs Ferro Carril Oeste markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CA Estudiantes | 37.5% | 2.67 | +9.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CA Estudiantes | 37.5% |
| Draw | 33.2% | |
| Ferro Carril Oeste | 29.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.5% |
| No | 51.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | CA Estudiantes win | 21.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 55.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 1-0 | 11.5% | |
| 0-0 | 10.6% |
CA Estudiantes vs Ferro Carril Oeste stats
CA Estudiantes and Ferro Carril Oeste recent form
| CA Estudiantes |
LWLDLD |
| Ferro Carril Oeste |
WWWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CA Estudiantes and Ferro Carril Oeste going into this match
CA Estudiantes record
- They have won 9 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Ferro Carril Oeste record
- They have won 16 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
CA Estudiantes vs Ferro Carril Oeste head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
1CA Estudiantes wins
0Draws
0Ferro Carril Oeste wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Ferro Carril Oeste | CA Estudiantes | Primera Nacional | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
CA Estudiantes vs Ferro Carril Oeste odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.2%, draw 34.4%, away 30.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.60 | 2.66 | 2.86 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.72 | 2.62 | 3.05 |
| Betfair | 2.55 | 2.70 | 2.88 |
| Dafabet | 2.60 | 2.70 | 3.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.60 | 2.66 | 2.86 |
| Pinnacle | 2.77 | 2.62 | 3.10 |
| Unibet | 2.60 | 2.65 | 2.90 |
| William Hill | 2.70 | 2.60 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.60 ▼ -0.10
X
2.66 ▼ -0.04
2
3.00 —
7 snapshots recorded, from .