Colegiales
vs
Deportivo Maipu
1 – 0 Full time
Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu
| Probability | Colegiales | Draw | Deportivo Maipu |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.9% | 31.7% | 28.3% |
| Market | 45.0% | 31.3% | 23.7% |
| Final | 43.8% | 31.4% | 24.8% |
| Edge | -5.1% | +0.4% | +4.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Colegiales and Deportivo Maipu expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.17
Colegiales and Deportivo Maipu attack and defence ratings
Colegiales
Deportivo Maipu
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu: result vs prediction
Colegiales 1 – 0 Deportivo Maipu
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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Before and after this match
Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colegiales | 43.8% | 2.29 | -5.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colegiales | 43.8% |
| Draw | 31.4% | |
| Deportivo Maipu | 24.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.8% |
| No | 55.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Colegiales win | 17.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 60.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 12.7% | |
| 1-0 | 12.3% |
Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu stats
Colegiales and Deportivo Maipu recent form
| Colegiales |
DLDWWL |
| Deportivo Maipu |
WWLWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Colegiales and Deportivo Maipu going into this match
Colegiales record
- They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 27 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo Maipu record
- They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 27 matches.
Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Deportivo Maipu | Colegiales | Primera Nacional | 3-1 |
| 2025-09-28 | Deportivo Maipu | Colegiales | Primera Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2025-05-25 | Colegiales | Deportivo Maipu | Primera Nacional | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.0%, draw 31.3%, away 23.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.99 | 2.94 | 3.88 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| Betano | 2.12 | 2.87 | 3.90 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.00 | 3.75 |
| Dafabet | 2.03 | 2.95 | 4.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.97 | 2.94 | 3.80 |
| Pinnacle | 2.07 | 2.96 | 4.05 |
| Superbet | 2.05 | 2.95 | 4.00 |
| Unibet | 2.14 | 3.05 | 3.60 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 2.80 | 3.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .