Colegiales
vs
Midland
3 – 0 Full time
| 25′ | F. Marin | ||
| 27′ | L. Castillo | ||
| 36′ | F. Marin | ||
| 41′ | L. Castillo | ||
| 43′ | M. Albertengo | ||
| 46′ | P. CasaricoM. Penepil | ||
| 46′ | J. CamanoR. Cao | ||
| 48′ | M. Penepil | ||
| 61′ | F. MontielF. Miranda | ||
| 61′ | L. GonzalezE. Ocampo | ||
| 63′ | R. LunaM. Abruzzese | ||
| 65′ | T. Muia | ||
| 71′ | M. AlbertengoM. Mamani | ||
| 71′ | L. CastilloR. E. Monserrat | ||
| 71′ | T. MuiaM. Flores | ||
| 78′ | F. ZicarelliE. Insua | ||
| 78′ | D. BulacioJ. Perales | ||
| 88′ | R. Cao | ||
| 90′ | R. E. Monserrat |
Colegiales vs Midland overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Colegiales vs Midland
| Probability | Colegiales | Draw | Midland |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.9% | 33.0% | 26.1% |
| Market | 33.7% | 34.3% | 32.0% |
| Final | 35.5% | 34.0% | 30.5% |
| Edge | +7.2% | -1.3% | -5.8% |
Why Colegiales
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Colegiales below the model: +7.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Colegiales and Midland expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.01
Colegiales and Midland attack and defence ratings
Colegiales
Midland
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Colegiales vs Midland: result vs prediction
Colegiales 3 – 0 Midland
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Before and after this match
Colegiales vs Midland markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colegiales | 35.5% | 2.82 | +7.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colegiales | 35.5% |
| Draw | 34.0% | |
| Midland | 30.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 67.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.7% |
| No | 59.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Colegiales win | 17.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.0% | |
| Loss | 59.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 14.8% |
| 1-1 | 14.6% | |
| 1-0 | 14.1% |
Colegiales vs Midland stats
Colegiales and Midland recent form
| Colegiales |
WDLDWW |
| Midland |
WLDDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Colegiales and Midland going into this match
Colegiales record
- They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 27 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Midland record
- They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Colegiales vs Midland head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | Midland | Colegiales | Primera Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2024-09-15 | Midland | Colegiales | Primera B Metropolitana | 2-1 |
| 2024-04-27 | Colegiales | Midland | Primera B Metropolitana | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Colegiales vs Midland odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.7%, draw 34.3%, away 32.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.65 | 2.65 | 2.88 |
| 1xBet | 2.56 | 2.76 | 2.80 |
| Bet365 | 2.80 | 2.70 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.75 | 2.75 | 2.90 |
| Betano | 2.77 | 2.57 | 3.00 |
| Betfair | 2.45 | 2.70 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.75 | 2.70 | 2.95 |
| Marathonbet | 2.59 | 2.76 | 2.76 |
| Pinnacle | 2.90 | 2.60 | 3.13 |
| SBO | 2.36 | 2.63 | 2.87 |
| Superbet | 2.75 | 2.70 | 2.95 |
| Unibet | 2.45 | 2.90 | 3.15 |
| William Hill | 2.75 | 2.50 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .