Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 28
San Martin S.J.
vs
Midland
3 – 2 Full time
| 12′ | S. Gonzalez | ||
| 32′ | F. MurilloR. Rumbolo | ||
| 46′ | T. MuiaI. Andrada | ||
| 46′ | M. PenepilJ. Perales | ||
| 52′ | M. Flores | ||
| 59′ | L. RecaldeM. Olavarria | ||
| 68′ | G. AcostaN. Iachetti | ||
| 77′ | M. Roseti | ||
| 80′ | F. CoronelR. Nieva | ||
| 81′ | H. ZulianiD. Alvarez | ||
| 81′ | S. GonzalezL. Ferreyra | ||
| 81′ | M. FloresR. Luna | ||
| 81′ | D. BulacioR. Cao | ||
| 84′ | P. Castorani | ||
| 87′ | L. Ferreyra | ||
| 90′ | J. Camano | ||
| 90′ | H. Zuliani | ||
| 90′ | J. Perales | ||
| 90′ | D. Alvarez |
San Martin S.J.
51%
Draw
30%
Midland
19%
San Martin S.J. vs Midland overview
Garuda Lions analysis: San Martin S.J. vs Midland
| Probability | San Martin S.J. | Draw | Midland |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.6% | 26.0% | 13.3% |
| Market | 48.2% | 30.7% | 21.1% |
| Final | 51.3% | 29.6% | 19.2% |
| Edge | +12.5% | -4.7% | -7.8% |
Why San Martin S.J.
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 0.66.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices San Martin S.J. below the model: +12.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
89%
2+ goals
68%
3+ goals
41%
No goals
11%
San Martin S.J. and Midland expected goals
San Martin S.J.
1.66
Midland
0.66
Total expected goals: 2.32
San Martin S.J. and Midland attack and defence ratings
San Martin S.J.
Attack
1.23 +23%
Defence
0.80 -20%
Midland
Attack
1.16 +16%
Defence
1.18 +18%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
San Martin S.J. vs Midland: result vs prediction
San Martin S.J. 3 – 2 Midland
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
- Defensores De Belgrano vs Racing Cordoba
- Ferro Carril Oeste vs Atletico Mitre
- San Telmo vs Los Andes — team news & stats
- Tristan Suarez vs San Martin Tucuman
- Chacarita Juniors v Atlanta — match page
- Acassuso v All Boys — match page
- Colon Santa Fe vs Deportivo Moron — team news & stats
- Agropecuario vs Atletico DE Rafaela — team news & stats
Before and after this match
San Martin S.J. vs Midland markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San Martin S.J. | 51.3% | 1.95 | +12.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San Martin S.J. | 51.3% |
| Draw | 29.6% | |
| Midland | 19.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.0% |
| No | 60.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | San Martin S.J. win | 34.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.0% | |
| Loss | 39.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.3% |
| 2-0 | 13.6% | |
| 1-1 | 11.8% |
San Martin S.J. vs Midland stats
San Martin S.J. and Midland recent form
| San Martin S.J. |
WWWDDD |
| Midland |
LWLDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
San Martin S.J. and Midland going into this match
San Martin S.J. record
- They have won 10 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Midland record
- They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
San Martin S.J. vs Midland head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
1San Martin S.J. wins
0Draws
0Midland wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Midland | San Martin S.J. | Primera Nacional | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
San Martin S.J. vs Midland odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.9%, draw 31.0%, away 22.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.87 | 2.99 | 4.34 |
| 888Sport | 2.00 | 2.90 | 4.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.00 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| Betano | 2.00 | 2.95 | 4.15 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 2.88 | 3.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.01 | 2.95 | 4.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.85 | 2.99 | 4.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93 | 3.18 | 4.52 |
| SBO | 1.98 | 2.65 | 3.49 |
| Unibet | 2.04 | 2.95 | 3.65 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.00 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.92 ▼ -0.29
X
3.00 ▲ +0.25
2
4.37 ▲ +0.77
12 snapshots recorded, from .