Quilmes
vs
San Martin S.J.
1 – 0 Full time
| 32′ | M. Osores | ||
| 46′ | M. OsoresE. Aguilera | ||
| 48′ | D. A. Mercado Carrizo | ||
| 50′ | A. Bindella | ||
| 57′ | N. IachettiL. Ferreyra | ||
| 57′ | F. CoronelS. Jaurena | ||
| 62′ | S. Gonzalez | ||
| 68′ | U. VeraA. Lavezzi | ||
| 73′ | E. Aguilera | ||
| 75′ | J. Yangali | ||
| 76′ | J. Novillo | ||
| 76′ | G. Acosta | ||
| 77′ | S. GonzalezG. Hachen | ||
| 83′ | A. SpetaleA. Kippes | ||
| 83′ | J. YangaliF. Yozwiak | ||
| 88′ | F. NadalinN. Paz | ||
| 88′ | A. OrtegaM. Vallejos | ||
| 88′ | R. MartinezN. Colazo | ||
| 90′ | M. Cocca | ||
| 90′ | F. Yozwiak |
Quilmes vs San Martin S.J. overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Quilmes vs San Martin S.J.
| Probability | Quilmes | Draw | San Martin S.J. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.4% | 32.4% | 31.1% |
| Market | 48.4% | 30.4% | 21.2% |
| Final | 45.4% | 30.9% | 23.7% |
| Edge | -11.9% | +2.0% | +9.9% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Quilmes and San Martin S.J. expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.12
Quilmes and San Martin S.J. attack and defence ratings
Quilmes
San Martin S.J.
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Quilmes vs San Martin S.J.: result vs prediction
Quilmes 1 – 0 San Martin S.J.
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
Before and after this match
Quilmes vs San Martin S.J. markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Quilmes | 45.4% | 2.20 | -11.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Quilmes | 45.4% |
| Draw | 30.9% | |
| San Martin S.J. | 23.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.9% |
| No | 56.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Quilmes win | 15.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 63.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 13.4% | |
| 1-0 | 12.0% |
Quilmes vs San Martin S.J. stats
Quilmes and San Martin S.J. recent form
| Quilmes |
LLLWDW |
| San Martin S.J. |
WWWWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Quilmes and San Martin S.J. going into this match
Quilmes record
- They have won 8 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 15 of 28 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
San Martin S.J. record
- They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 27 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Quilmes vs San Martin S.J. head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | San Martin S.J. | Quilmes | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2024-08-06 | Quilmes | San Martin S.J. | Primera Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2024-03-16 | San Martin S.J. | Quilmes | Primera Nacional | 0-3 |
| 2022-06-04 | San Martin S.J. | Quilmes | Primera Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2017-05-06 | San Martin S.J. | Quilmes | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-0 |
| 2015-10-03 | Quilmes | San Martin S.J. | Liga Profesional Argentina | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Quilmes vs San Martin S.J. odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.9%, draw 30.4%, away 21.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.85 | 3.02 | 4.39 |
| 888Sport | 2.25 | 2.70 | 3.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.10 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 3.13 | 4.50 |
| Betano | 1.90 | 3.10 | 4.35 |
| Betfair | 1.90 | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.23 | 2.90 | 3.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.83 | 3.02 | 4.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.90 | 3.24 | 4.60 |
| SBO | 2.08 | 2.75 | 3.26 |
| Superbet | 2.27 | 2.92 | 3.50 |
| Unibet | 2.35 | 2.75 | 3.10 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.00 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .