Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 29
Los Andes
vs
San Miguel
1 – 1 Full time
| 19′ | F. Tisera | ||
| 41′ | M. Asenjo | ||
| 47′ | J. Ferrero | ||
| 55′ | A. V. Chamorro | ||
| 58′ | F. TiseraC. Viganoni | ||
| 67′ | D. JuarezT. Jerez | ||
| 67′ | M. OsesL. Brochero | ||
| 68′ | L. Brochero | ||
| 76′ | S. OrtizF. Rodriguez | ||
| 76′ | N. FernandezT. Modlin | ||
| 77′ | E. De la CruzF. Almeida | ||
| 88′ | J. FerreroG. Fernandez | ||
| 88′ | M. SerraL. Desabato | ||
| 90′ | I. Ramirez |
Los Andes
46%
Draw
35%
San Miguel
19%
Los Andes vs San Miguel overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Los Andes vs San Miguel
| Probability | Los Andes | Draw | San Miguel |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.4% | 35.0% | 18.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 46.4% | 35.0% | 18.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Los Andes
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.09 vs 0.59.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
80%
2+ goals
51%
3+ goals
24%
No goals
20%
Los Andes and San Miguel expected goals
Los Andes
1.09
San Miguel
0.59
Total expected goals: 1.68
Los Andes and San Miguel attack and defence ratings
Los Andes
Attack
0.72 -28%
Defence
0.95 -5%
San Miguel
Attack
0.87 -13%
Defence
1.32 +32%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Los Andes vs San Miguel: result vs prediction
Los Andes 1 – 1 San Miguel
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Tristan Suarez
- Atlanta vs Club Atlético Güemes — team news & stats
- Colegiales vs Nueva Chicago
- All Boys v San Telmo — match page
- Almagro vs Deportivo Maipu — team news & stats
- Ciudad de Bolívar v Central Norte — match page
- Quilmes v San Martin S.J. — match page
- Patronato vs Temperley
Before and after this match
Los Andes vs San Miguel markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Los Andes | 46.4% | 2.16 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.6% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Los Andes | 46.4% |
| Draw | 35.0% | |
| San Miguel | 18.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 23.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 76.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 30.9% |
| No | 69.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 65.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Los Andes win | 20.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.4% | |
| Loss | 53.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 19.8% |
| 1-0 | 19.1% | |
| 1-1 | 13.2% |
Los Andes vs San Miguel stats
Los Andes and San Miguel recent form
| Los Andes |
DDDLLL |
| San Miguel |
LLLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Los Andes and San Miguel going into this match
Los Andes record
- They have won 8 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 16 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 15 of 28 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
San Miguel record
- They have won 6 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Los Andes vs San Miguel head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
2Los Andes wins
4Draws
3San Miguel wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | San Miguel | Los Andes | Primera Nacional | 0-2 |
| 2025-08-31 | Los Andes | San Miguel | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2025-04-26 | San Miguel | Los Andes | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 | San Miguel | Los Andes | Primera B Metropolitana | 2-1 |
| 2023-05-06 | Los Andes | San Miguel | Primera B Metropolitana | 3-0 |
| 2022-09-26 | Los Andes | San Miguel | Primera B Metropolitana | 0-0 |
| 2022-05-28 | San Miguel | Los Andes | Primera B Metropolitana | 1-1 |
| 2021-09-25 | Los Andes | San Miguel | Primera B Metropolitana | 0-0 |
| 2021-05-15 | San Miguel | Los Andes | Primera B Metropolitana | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.