Primera Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 30

Colon Santa Fe vs Los Andes

3 – 0 Full time

10′A. Toledo
17′A. Bonansea
34′J. Rodriguez
35′F. GarciaI. Lago
41′I. Lago
43′I. Lago
45′M. BudinoT. Gimenez
46′D. SarmientoG. Risso
54′G. CaneteM. Gonzalez
54′J. RodriguezB. Leizza
56′I. Lago
63′N. FernandezI. Grance
63′F. VillarrealF. Tisera
72′M. Munoz
74′J. MarcioniI. Antonio
74′A. ToledoL. E. Picech
80′F. RodriguezJ. Vazquez
87′Los Andes
90′I. Antonio
Colon Santa Fe 55%
Draw 29%
Los Andes 16%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Colon Santa Fe vs Los Andes overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Colon Santa Fe vs Los Andes

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityColon Santa FeDrawLos Andes
Model53.7%31.5%14.8%
Market54.8%28.6%16.6%
Final54.5%29.3%16.2%
Edge-1.1%+2.9%-1.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Colon Santa Fe

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.30 vs 0.56.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Colon Santa Fe ↓ / Los Andes → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 17% 1 19% 12% 2 13% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 83%
2+ goals 56%
3+ goals 28%
No goals 17%

Colon Santa Fe and Los Andes expected goals

Colon Santa Fe 1.30
Los Andes 0.56

Total expected goals: 1.85

Colon Santa Fe and Los Andes attack and defence ratings

Colon Santa Fe

Attack 1.14 +14%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Los Andes

Attack 0.73 -27%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Colon Santa Fe vs Los Andes: result vs prediction

Colon Santa Fe 3 – 0 Los Andes

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 30 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

Colon Santa Fe vs Los Andes markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Colon Santa Fe 54.5% 1.83 -1.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 71.6% 1.40 — —
Both teams to score No 67.9% 1.47 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.8% 1.19 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 46.2% 2.16 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Colon Santa Fe54.5%
Draw29.3%
Los Andes16.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.528.4%
Under 2.571.6%
Both teams to scoreYes32.1%
No67.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.8%
12 (either side)70.7%
X2 (draw or away)45.5%
Handicap -1Colon Santa Fe win26.3%
Push (exactly one goal)27.5%
Loss46.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-019.2%
0-016.8%
2-013.2%

Colon Santa Fe vs Los Andes stats

Colon Santa Fe and Los Andes recent form

newest first
Colon Santa Fe LLLWWW
Los Andes DDDDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Colon Santa Fe and Los Andes going into this match

league record before kick-off

Colon Santa Fe record

  • They have won 12 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 29 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Los Andes record

  • They have won 8 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 16 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 15 of 29 matches.
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Colon Santa Fe vs Los Andes head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Colon Santa Fe wins 1Draws 0Los Andes wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-02Los AndesColon Santa FePrimera Nacional1-1
2024-05-08Colon Santa FeLos AndesCopa Argentina2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Colon Santa Fe vs Los Andes odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 54.8%, draw 28.6%, away 16.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.65 3.18 5.39
Bet365 1.70 3.20 5.75
BetVictor 1.70 3.20 5.75
Betano 1.70 3.25 5.50
Betfair 1.65 3.00 5.50
Marathonbet 1.62 3.20 5.30
Pinnacle 1.68 3.43 5.98
SBO 1.65 3.00 4.76
William Hill 1.67 3.25 5.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.67 ▼ -0.08
X 3.20 ▲ +0.20
2 5.50 ▲ +0.30

12 snapshots recorded, from .