Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 31
Los Andes
vs
Deportivo Moron
2 – 1 Full time
| 23′ | G. D. Carrasco | ||
| 34′ | F. Fagundez | ||
| 34′ | Los Andes | ||
| 38′ | M. Bittolo | ||
| 52′ | F. Fagundez | ||
| 63′ | M. BittoloF. Toloza | ||
| 63′ | M. LevatoE. Contreras | ||
| 71′ | M. GaleanoF. Tisera | ||
| 76′ | M. Asenjo | ||
| 78′ | A. V. ChamorroA. L. Gonzalez | ||
| 78′ | F. VillarrealM. Gonzalez | ||
| 81′ | Los Andes | ||
| 81′ | G. BerterameJ. Esquivel | ||
| 81′ | F. FagundezJ. Olivares | ||
| 81′ | M. Burruchaga | ||
| 84′ | J. VazquezF. Rodriguez | ||
| 84′ | G. CaneteS. Ortiz | ||
| 86′ | M. BurruchagaG. Gonzalez | ||
| 90′ | F. Tisera |
Los Andes
33%
Draw
34%
Deportivo Moron
34%
Los Andes vs Deportivo Moron overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Los Andes vs Deportivo Moron
| Probability | Los Andes | Draw | Deportivo Moron |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.4% | 30.0% | 46.5% |
| Market | 35.8% | 34.7% | 29.5% |
| Final | 32.7% | 33.5% | 33.7% |
| Edge | -12.4% | -4.7% | +17.1% |
Why Deportivo Moron
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.38 vs 0.91.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Deportivo Moron below the model: +17.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
89%
2+ goals
68%
3+ goals
40%
No goals
11%
Los Andes and Deportivo Moron expected goals
Los Andes
0.91
Deportivo Moron
1.38
Total expected goals: 2.28
Los Andes and Deportivo Moron attack and defence ratings
Los Andes
Attack
0.69 -31%
Defence
1.22 +22%
Deportivo Moron
Attack
1.61 +61%
Defence
1.15 +15%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Los Andes vs Deportivo Moron: result vs prediction
Los Andes 2 – 1 Deportivo Moron
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 31 fixtures
- CA Estudiantes v San Miguel — match page
- Almirante Brown vs Acassuso
- All Boys v Colon Santa Fe — match page
- Quilmes v Club Atlético Güemes — match page
- Ciudad de Bolívar vs Chaco For Ever — team news & stats
- Deportivo Madryn vs Central Norte
- Colegiales v Chacarita Juniors — match page
- Almagro vs Nueva Chicago — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Los Andes vs Deportivo Moron markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Moron | 33.7% | 2.96 | +17.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Los Andes | 32.7% |
| Draw | 33.5% | |
| Deportivo Moron | 33.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.9% |
| No | 54.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Moron win | 23.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.5% | |
| Loss | 53.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 0-1 | 12.8% | |
| 0-0 | 11.5% |
Los Andes vs Deportivo Moron stats
Los Andes and Deportivo Moron recent form
| Los Andes |
LDDDDL |
| Deportivo Moron |
LWWWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Los Andes and Deportivo Moron going into this match
Los Andes record
- They have won 8 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 16 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 16 of 30 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo Moron record
- They have won 16 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
Los Andes vs Deportivo Moron head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4Los Andes wins
5Draws
1Deportivo Moron wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Deportivo Moron | Los Andes | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2019-04-20 | Deportivo Moron | Los Andes | Primera Nacional | 3-0 |
| 2017-09-16 | Los Andes | Deportivo Moron | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2014-10-07 | Los Andes | Deportivo Moron | Primera B Metropolitana | 0-0 |
| 2014-08-19 | Deportivo Moron | Los Andes | Primera B Metropolitana | 0-1 |
| 2014-02-08 | Deportivo Moron | Los Andes | Primera B Metropolitana | 0-2 |
| 2013-08-03 | Los Andes | Deportivo Moron | Primera B Metropolitana | 2-0 |
| 2012-12-09 | Los Andes | Deportivo Moron | Primera B Metropolitana | 1-1 |
| 2012-08-05 | Deportivo Moron | Los Andes | Primera B Metropolitana | 0-0 |
| 2012-04-03 | Los Andes | Deportivo Moron | Primera B Metropolitana | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Los Andes vs Deportivo Moron odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.8%, draw 34.7%, away 29.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.51 | 2.59 | 3.10 |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.60 | 2.75 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.60 | 2.70 | 3.10 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 2.63 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.49 | 2.59 | 3.02 |
| Pinnacle | 2.64 | 2.75 | 3.25 |
| SBO | 2.46 | 2.56 | 2.82 |
| William Hill | 2.60 | 2.60 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.55 ▼ -0.08
X
2.63 —
2
3.10 ▲ +0.05
13 snapshots recorded, from .