Primera Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 31

Ciudad de Bolívar vs Chaco For Ever

2 – 1 Full time

32′E. Martinez
32′D. Valdez
41′K. Caraballo
50′G. Sanchez
54′E. GaggiM. Diaz Chaves
57′L. Fernandez
64′F. Peralta
65′E. PachecoA. Lioi
67′G. SanchezF. Mucignat
67′K. CaraballoJ. Maciel
68′J. CarrizoM. Tevez
74′A. Luque
75′A. GonzalezM. Gridel
76′T. GuiacobiniB. Quintana
79′J. Maciel
90′M. GutierrezA. Carrion
90′F. Peralta

Estadio Municipal Eva Peron, Bolivar

Ciudad de Bolívar 33%
Draw 35%
Chaco For Ever 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Ciudad de Bolívar vs Chaco For Ever overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Ciudad de Bolívar vs Chaco For Ever

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCiudad de BolívarDrawChaco For Ever
Model17.8%39.1%43.1%
Market38.6%33.3%28.1%
Final33.4%34.7%31.9%
Edge-20.8%+5.8%+15.0%

Confidence: Low

Why the draw

  • The market prices the draw below the model: +5.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Ciudad de Bolí ↓ / Chaco For Ever → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 26% 21% 1 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 74%
2+ goals 42%
3+ goals 17%
No goals 26%

Ciudad de Bolívar and Chaco For Ever expected goals

Ciudad de Bolívar 0.49
Chaco For Ever 0.91

Total expected goals: 1.40

Ciudad de Bolívar and Chaco For Ever attack and defence ratings

Ciudad de Bolívar

Attack 0.75 -25%
Defence 1.22 +22%

Chaco For Ever

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 0.57 -43%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Ciudad de Bolívar vs Chaco For Ever: result vs prediction

Ciudad de Bolívar 2 – 1 Chaco For Ever

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 31 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

Ciudad de Bolívar vs Chaco For Ever markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Draw 34.7% 2.88 +5.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 83.3% 1.20 — —
Both teams to score No 75.8% 1.32 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 68.1% 1.47 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 82.2% 1.22 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Ciudad de Bolívar33.4%
Draw34.7%
Chaco For Ever31.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.516.7%
Under 2.583.3%
Both teams to scoreYes24.2%
No75.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.1%
12 (either side)65.3%
X2 (draw or away)66.6%
Handicap -1Ciudad de Bolívar win4.0%
Push (exactly one goal)13.8%
Loss82.2%
Correct score (top 3)0-025.7%
0-121.4%
1-112.1%

Ciudad de Bolívar vs Chaco For Ever stats

Ciudad de Bolívar and Chaco For Ever recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Ciudad de Bolívar and Chaco For Ever going into this match

league record before kick-off

Ciudad de Bolívar record

  • They have won 9 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 14 clean sheets in 30 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 30 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Chaco For Ever record

  • They have won 9 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 30 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 30 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).

Ciudad de Bolívar vs Chaco For Ever head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Ciudad de Bolívar wins 0Draws 0Chaco For Ever wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-10Chaco For EverCiudad de BolívarPrimera Nacional0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Ciudad de Bolívar vs Chaco For Ever odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 38.6%, draw 33.3%, away 28.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.32 2.71 3.27
Bet365 2.40 2.75 3.40
BetVictor 2.38 2.88 3.25
Betano 2.37 2.80 3.35
Betfair 2.30 2.80 3.10
Marathonbet 2.30 2.71 3.18
Pinnacle 2.47 2.86 3.39
SBO 2.28 2.67 2.96
William Hill 2.40 2.70 3.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.37 ▼ -0.03
X 2.75 ▲ +0.05
2 3.25 ▲ +0.10

12 snapshots recorded, from .