Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 30
Chaco For Ever
vs
Almirante Brown
1 – 0 Full time
| 11′ | A. Ojeda | ||
| 46′ | L. PascualS. Gauna | ||
| 46′ | G. Alegre RojasP. Velurtas | ||
| 59′ | E. GaggiS. Valenzuela | ||
| 59′ | M. S. RomeroM. Diaz Chaves | ||
| 60′ | M. ZanottiE. Martinez | ||
| 60′ | P. Velurtas | ||
| 71′ | R. GonzalezG. Flores | ||
| 71′ | M. SantiagoJ. Lopez | ||
| 75′ | L. FernandezF. Moreno | ||
| 89′ | B. NievasM. Tevez | ||
| 89′ | E. PachecoM. Silvera |
Chaco For Ever
45%
Draw
35%
Almirante Brown
20%
Chaco For Ever vs Almirante Brown overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chaco For Ever vs Almirante Brown
| Probability | Chaco For Ever | Draw | Almirante Brown |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.9% | 44.7% | 19.4% |
| Market | 47.9% | 32.3% | 19.8% |
| Final | 44.9% | 35.4% | 19.7% |
| Edge | -12.0% | +12.4% | -0.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
67%
2+ goals
32%
3+ goals
11%
No goals
33%
Chaco For Ever and Almirante Brown expected goals
Chaco For Ever
0.70
Almirante Brown
0.44
Total expected goals: 1.14
Chaco For Ever and Almirante Brown attack and defence ratings
Chaco For Ever
Attack
1.06 +6%
Defence
0.63 -37%
Almirante Brown
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
0.57 -43%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Chaco For Ever vs Almirante Brown: result vs prediction
Chaco For Ever 1 – 0 Almirante Brown
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
- Acassuso vs Atletico Mitre
- Ferro Carril Oeste v Ciudad de Bolívar — match page
- San Telmo v CA Estudiantes — match page
- San Miguel vs All Boys — team news & stats
- Temperley vs Almagro — team news & stats
- Atletico DE Rafaela vs San Martin Tucuman — team news & stats
- Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes
- Agropecuario v Gimnasia Y Tiro — match page
Before and after this match
Chaco For Ever vs Almirante Brown markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chaco For Ever | 44.9% | 2.23 | -12.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.3% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chaco For Ever | 44.9% |
| Draw | 35.4% | |
| Almirante Brown | 19.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 10.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 89.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 18.9% |
| No | 81.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 64.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Chaco For Ever win | 11.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.0% | |
| Loss | 64.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 33.0% |
| 1-0 | 21.4% | |
| 0-1 | 13.1% |
Chaco For Ever vs Almirante Brown stats
Chaco For Ever and Almirante Brown recent form
| Chaco For Ever |
DWDWWL |
| Almirante Brown |
DDWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Chaco For Ever and Almirante Brown going into this match
Chaco For Ever record
- They have won 8 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
Almirante Brown record
- They have won 12 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 18 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Chaco For Ever vs Almirante Brown head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
1Chaco For Ever wins
3Draws
2Almirante Brown wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Almirante Brown | Chaco For Ever | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-07-27 | Chaco For Ever | Almirante Brown | Primera Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2025-03-23 | Almirante Brown | Chaco For Ever | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2024-09-29 | Almirante Brown | Chaco For Ever | Primera Nacional | 3-0 |
| 2024-05-11 | Chaco For Ever | Almirante Brown | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2022-03-27 | Chaco For Ever | Almirante Brown | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Chaco For Ever vs Almirante Brown odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.9%, draw 32.3%, away 19.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.87 | 2.77 | 4.75 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 2.90 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.91 | 2.90 | 4.80 |
| Betano | 1.98 | 2.82 | 4.60 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 2.88 | 4.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.85 | 2.77 | 4.60 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93 | 2.96 | 5.05 |
| SBO | 1.89 | 2.71 | 3.98 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 2.80 | 4.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.90 ▼ -0.05
X
2.82 ▲ +0.02
2
4.60 ▲ +0.06
12 snapshots recorded, from .