Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 31
Almirante Brown
vs
Acassuso
0 – 1 Full time
| 30′ | B. DordoniL. Pioli | ||
| 46′ | M. SantiagoG. Flores | ||
| 54′ | L. Jara | ||
| 57′ | D. Escalante | ||
| 64′ | L. JaraL. Pascual | ||
| 64′ | M. ZanottiJ. Lopez | ||
| 66′ | E. Cardozo | ||
| 67′ | T. Rodriguez | ||
| 69′ | G. Alegre RojasM. Abreliano | ||
| 73′ | S. Borges | ||
| 77′ | R. ReynosoJ. Ponce | ||
| 77′ | D. EscalanteL. Romero | ||
| 80′ | E. CardozoR. Gonzalez | ||
| 84′ | A. Hermoso | ||
| 84′ | K. DubiniD. de Estefano | ||
| 84′ | A. HermosoV. Serrano | ||
| 86′ | M. Monllor | ||
| 88′ | V. Serrano | ||
| 90′ | G. Flores |
Almirante Brown
55%
Draw
30%
Acassuso
15%
Almirante Brown vs Acassuso overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Almirante Brown vs Acassuso
| Probability | Almirante Brown | Draw | Acassuso |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.5% | 32.3% | 10.1% |
| Market | 54.0% | 28.8% | 17.2% |
| Final | 54.9% | 29.7% | 15.4% |
| Edge | +3.5% | +3.5% | -7.0% |
Why Almirante Brown
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.23 vs 0.37.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Almirante Brown below the model: +3.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
79%
2+ goals
48%
3+ goals
22%
No goals
21%
Almirante Brown and Acassuso expected goals
Almirante Brown
1.23
Acassuso
0.37
Total expected goals: 1.60
Almirante Brown and Acassuso attack and defence ratings
Almirante Brown
Attack
0.90 -10%
Defence
0.62 -38%
Acassuso
Attack
0.84 -16%
Defence
1.18 +18%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Almirante Brown vs Acassuso: result vs prediction
Almirante Brown 0 – 1 Acassuso
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 31 fixtures
- CA Estudiantes v San Miguel — match page
- All Boys v Colon Santa Fe — match page
- Quilmes v Club Atlético Güemes — match page
- Ciudad de Bolívar vs Chaco For Ever — team news & stats
- Deportivo Madryn vs Central Norte
- Colegiales v Chacarita Juniors — match page
- Almagro vs Nueva Chicago — team news & stats
- Los Andes vs Deportivo Moron
Before and after this match
Almirante Brown vs Acassuso markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Almirante Brown | 54.9% | 1.82 | +3.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 78.4% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Almirante Brown | 54.9% |
| Draw | 29.7% | |
| Acassuso | 15.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 21.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 78.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 22.7% |
| No | 77.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Almirante Brown win | 27.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 30.0% | |
| Loss | 42.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 24.0% |
| 0-0 | 21.2% | |
| 2-0 | 15.3% |
Almirante Brown vs Acassuso stats
Almirante Brown and Acassuso recent form
| Almirante Brown |
LDDWWL |
| Acassuso |
WLLDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Almirante Brown and Acassuso going into this match
Almirante Brown record
- They have won 12 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 18 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Acassuso record
- They have won 6 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 17 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Almirante Brown vs Acassuso head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
3Almirante Brown wins
4Draws
2Acassuso wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Acassuso | Almirante Brown | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2020-12-27 | Almirante Brown | Acassuso | Primera B Metropolitana | 2-1 |
| 2019-11-10 | Acassuso | Almirante Brown | Primera B Metropolitana | 0-1 |
| 2019-05-06 | Acassuso | Almirante Brown | Primera B Metropolitana | 0-1 |
| 2018-11-25 | Almirante Brown | Acassuso | Primera B Metropolitana | 0-3 |
| 2018-04-13 | Acassuso | Almirante Brown | Primera B Metropolitana | 1-0 |
| 2017-11-26 | Almirante Brown | Acassuso | Primera B Metropolitana | 0-0 |
| 2017-05-28 | Almirante Brown | Acassuso | Primera B Metropolitana | 0-0 |
| 2016-11-12 | Acassuso | Almirante Brown | Primera B Metropolitana | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Almirante Brown vs Acassuso odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 53.6%, draw 29.1%, away 17.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.67 | 3.10 | 5.40 |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 3.20 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.75 | 3.15 | 5.20 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 3.25 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.65 | 3.10 | 5.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.72 | 3.22 | 5.52 |
| SBO | 1.65 | 2.90 | 4.60 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.00 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.69 ▲ +0.01
X
3.17 ▲ +0.07
2
5.33 ▼ -0.17
11 snapshots recorded, from .