Acassuso
vs
Ciudad de Bolívar
0 – 1 Full time
| 45′ | E. Martinez | ||
| 45′ | D. Escalante | ||
| 50′ | G. Sanchez | ||
| 53′ | E. NavarroA. Carrion | ||
| 61′ | N. AcostaL. Rey | ||
| 61′ | K. DubiniD. de Estefano | ||
| 61′ | F. SennJ. Raccio | ||
| 71′ | A. GonzalezJ. Maciel | ||
| 71′ | G. SanchezB. Quintana | ||
| 71′ | F. MucignatM. Gridel | ||
| 73′ | J. Maciel | ||
| 80′ | D. N. Bellatti S.A. Gonzalez | ||
| 83′ | N. PetilloF. Sena | ||
| 85′ | B. Quintana | ||
| 88′ | M. GutierrezT. Fernandez |
Acassuso vs Ciudad de Bolívar overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Acassuso vs Ciudad de Bolívar
| Probability | Acassuso | Draw | Ciudad de Bolívar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.0% | 33.2% | 19.9% |
| Market | 40.6% | 32.6% | 26.8% |
| Final | 42.2% | 32.7% | 25.1% |
| Edge | +6.4% | +0.6% | -7.0% |
Why Acassuso
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.19 vs 0.68.
- The market prices Acassuso below the model: +6.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Acassuso and Ciudad de Bolívar expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.87
Acassuso and Ciudad de Bolívar attack and defence ratings
Acassuso
Ciudad de Bolívar
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Acassuso vs Ciudad de Bolívar: result vs prediction
Acassuso 0 – 1 Ciudad de Bolívar
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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Before and after this match
Acassuso vs Ciudad de Bolívar markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Acassuso | 42.2% | 2.37 | +6.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.9% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Acassuso | 42.2% |
| Draw | 32.7% | |
| Ciudad de Bolívar | 25.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 28.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 71.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 35.5% |
| No | 64.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Acassuso win | 21.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.6% | |
| Loss | 53.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 17.1% |
| 0-0 | 16.7% | |
| 1-1 | 13.7% |
Acassuso vs Ciudad de Bolívar stats
Acassuso and Ciudad de Bolívar recent form
| Acassuso |
WWLLDL |
| Ciudad de Bolívar |
WLDLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Acassuso and Ciudad de Bolívar going into this match
Acassuso record
- They have won 7 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 17 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Ciudad de Bolívar record
- They have won 10 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Acassuso vs Ciudad de Bolívar head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Ciudad de Bolívar | Acassuso | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Acassuso vs Ciudad de Bolívar odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.6%, draw 32.6%, away 26.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.29 | 3.14 | 3.40 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 2.88 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 2.90 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 2.32 | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 2.80 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.22 | 2.69 | 3.38 |
| Pinnacle | 2.31 | 2.90 | 3.68 |
| SBO | 2.14 | 2.71 | 3.18 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 2.70 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .