Ciudad de Bolívar
vs
San Telmo
Garuda Lions Prediction: Ciudad de Bolívar
1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
Ciudad de Bolívar vs San Telmo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ciudad de Bolívar vs San Telmo
| Probability | Ciudad de Bolívar | Draw | San Telmo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.2% | 30.9% | 24.9% |
| Market | 49.3% | 30.2% | 20.5% |
| Final | 48.0% | 30.4% | 21.6% |
| Edge | -5.1% | +0.7% | +4.4% |
Why Ciudad de Bolívar
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.30 vs 0.92.
Best available price on the pick: 1.91, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Ciudad de Bolívar vs San Telmo match preview
Ciudad de Bolívar faces San Telmo in an upcoming Primera Nacional match. The model suggests a 44% probability of a Ciudad de Bolívar victory, while a draw stands at 31% and San Telmo at 25%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Ciudad de Bolívar, with a 13% chance of occurring. Expected goals indicate Ciudad de Bolívar at 1.30 and San Telmo at 0.91, highlighting a potential edge for the home side.
In terms of recent form, Ciudad de Bolívar has recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. San Telmo, on the other hand, has achieved three wins, one draw, and one loss in the same timeframe. Their last head-to-head encounter resulted in a win for Ciudad de Bolívar, contributing to their favorable historical record against San Telmo.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ciudad de Bolívar and San Telmo expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.22
Ciudad de Bolívar and San Telmo attack and defence ratings
Ciudad de Bolívar
San Telmo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 33 fixtures
- Defensores De Belgrano v Acassuso — match page
- CA Estudiantes vs Deportivo Moron
- Patronato vs Club Atlético Güemes
- Temperley v Nueva Chicago — match page
- Gimnasia Jujuy v Gimnasia Y Tiro — match page
- Atletico Mitre vs Colon Santa Fe
- Central Norte vs Ferro Carril Oeste — team news & stats
- Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin S.J.
Before and after this match
Ciudad de Bolívar vs San Telmo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ciudad de Bolívar | 48.0% | 2.08 | -5.1% | 1.91 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.1% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ciudad de Bolívar | 48.0% |
| Draw | 30.4% | |
| San Telmo | 21.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.9% |
| No | 55.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ciudad de Bolívar win | 21.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 55.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 1-0 | 12.9% | |
| 0-0 | 12.2% |
Ciudad de Bolívar vs San Telmo stats
Ciudad de Bolívar and San Telmo recent form
| Ciudad de Bolívar |
WWLDLW |
| San Telmo |
WWLWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ciudad de Bolívar and San Telmo season so far
Ciudad de Bolívar record
- They have won 10 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
San Telmo record
- They have won 8 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 15 of 31 matches.
Ciudad de Bolívar vs San Telmo head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | San Telmo | Ciudad de Bolívar | Primera Nacional | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ciudad de Bolívar vs San Telmo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.3%, draw 30.2%, away 20.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.80 | 3.02 | 4.58 |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 3.00 | 4.50 |
| Betano | 1.85 | 3.10 | 4.60 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.10 | 4.40 |
| Dafabet | 1.88 | 3.15 | 4.30 |
| Marathonbet | 1.78 | 3.02 | 4.45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.86 | 3.13 | 4.69 |
| SBO | 1.88 | 2.74 | 3.67 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 2.90 | 4.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .