Primera Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 33

Ciudad de Bolívar vs San Telmo

1 – 0 Full time

17′R. Uriburu
24′E. Navarro
32′Ciudad de Bolívar
32′F. Roncaglia
33′N. Molina
45′R. Dinocco
52′M. BatalliniJ. Porto
56′M. GutierrezK. Caraballo
76′F. MucignatT. Guiacobini
76′G. SanchezF. Ilarregui
77′M. GonzalezC. Nunez
78′L. Pollacchi
83′K. Caraballo
88′A. GonzalezB. Quintana
88′R. UriburuI. Larthirigoyen
88′F. RoncagliaF. Baez

Estadio Municipal Eva Peron, Bolivar

Ciudad de Bolívar 50%
Draw 29%
San Telmo 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Ciudad de Bolívar vs San Telmo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Ciudad de Bolívar vs San Telmo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCiudad de BolívarDrawSan Telmo
Model44.2%30.9%24.9%
Market52.1%28.7%19.2%
Final50.1%29.3%20.6%
Edge-2.0%+0.5%+1.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Ciudad de Bolívar

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.30 vs 0.91.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Ciudad de Bolí ↓ / San Telmo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 9% 1 13% 14% 2 9% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 66%
3+ goals 38%
No goals 12%

Ciudad de Bolívar and San Telmo expected goals

Ciudad de Bolívar 1.30
San Telmo 0.91

Total expected goals: 2.21

Ciudad de Bolívar and San Telmo attack and defence ratings

Ciudad de Bolívar

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 1.08 +8%

San Telmo

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 1.24 +24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Ciudad de Bolívar vs San Telmo: result vs prediction

Ciudad de Bolívar 1 – 0 San Telmo

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 33 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

Ciudad de Bolívar vs San Telmo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Ciudad de Bolívar 50.1% 2.00 -2.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 61.8% 1.62 — —
Both teams to score No 55.1% 1.82 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 79.4% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.9% 1.79 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Ciudad de Bolívar50.1%
Draw29.3%
San Telmo20.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.538.2%
Under 2.561.8%
Both teams to scoreYes44.9%
No55.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)79.4%
12 (either side)70.7%
X2 (draw or away)49.9%
Handicap -1Ciudad de Bolívar win21.0%
Push (exactly one goal)23.2%
Loss55.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.3%
1-012.9%
0-012.2%

Ciudad de Bolívar vs San Telmo stats

Ciudad de Bolívar and San Telmo recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Ciudad de Bolívar and San Telmo going into this match

league record before kick-off

Ciudad de Bolívar record

  • They have won 11 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 15 clean sheets in 32 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 32 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).

San Telmo record

  • They have won 9 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 32 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 15 of 32 matches.

Ciudad de Bolívar vs San Telmo head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Ciudad de Bolívar wins 0Draws 0San Telmo wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-23San TelmoCiudad de BolívarPrimera Nacional0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Ciudad de Bolívar vs San Telmo odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 52.1%, draw 28.7%, away 19.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.72 3.18 4.77
Bet365 1.75 3.40 5.00
BetVictor 1.80 3.25 4.80
Betano 1.75 3.25 5.00
Betfair 1.75 3.10 4.60
Dafabet 1.82 3.20 4.80
Marathonbet 1.70 3.18 4.65
Pinnacle 1.78 3.44 5.03
SBO 1.81 2.89 4.03
William Hill 1.80 3.20 4.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.77 ▼ -0.06
X 3.20 ▲ +0.10
2 4.79 ▲ +0.33

12 snapshots recorded, from .