Primera Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 33

Colegiales vs Tristan Suarez

0 – 0 Full time

37′F. Marin
44′N. Sanchez
62′M. AlbertengoL. Gonzalez
68′R. ConechnyA. Gallo
68′J. BeronS. Ramirez
72′M. Guillen
74′L. CastilloN. Toloza
78′D. BeckerM. Luayza
78′M. GuillenD. Mastrangelo
82′A. Molina
83′L. Ortiz
83′A. Gallo
88′F. MontielF. Zicarelli
88′R. E. MonserratM. Mamani
89′N. SanchezL. Noriega
90′L. Gonzalez

Estadio de Colegiales, Buenos Aires

Colegiales 34%
Draw 37%
Tristan Suarez 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Colegiales vs Tristan Suarez overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Colegiales vs Tristan Suarez

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityColegialesDrawTristan Suarez
Model26.7%41.6%31.7%
Market35.9%35.1%29.0%
Final33.6%36.8%29.6%
Edge-2.3%+1.6%+0.7%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Colegiales ↓ / Tristan Suarez → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 27% 17% 1 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 73%
2+ goals 40%
3+ goals 15%
No goals 27%

Colegiales and Tristan Suarez expected goals

Colegiales 0.63
Tristan Suarez 0.71

Total expected goals: 1.34

Colegiales and Tristan Suarez attack and defence ratings

Colegiales

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Tristan Suarez

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 0.46 -54%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Colegiales vs Tristan Suarez: result vs prediction

Colegiales 0 – 0 Tristan Suarez

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 33 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

Colegiales vs Tristan Suarez markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Draw 36.8% 2.72 +1.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 84.7% 1.18 — —
Both teams to score No 75.0% 1.33 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 70.4% 1.42 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 73.3% 1.37 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Colegiales33.6%
Draw36.8%
Tristan Suarez29.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.515.3%
Under 2.584.7%
Both teams to scoreYes25.0%
No75.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.4%
12 (either side)63.2%
X2 (draw or away)66.4%
Handicap -1Colegiales win7.5%
Push (exactly one goal)19.3%
Loss73.3%
Correct score (top 3)0-027.3%
0-117.4%
1-015.3%

Colegiales vs Tristan Suarez stats

Colegiales and Tristan Suarez recent form

newest first
Colegiales WWLWLW
Tristan Suarez DWDDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Colegiales and Tristan Suarez going into this match

league record before kick-off

Colegiales record

  • They have won 13 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
  • They have kept 14 clean sheets in 32 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 12 of 32 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Tristan Suarez record

  • They have won 15 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 22 clean sheets in 32 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 12 of 32 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).

Colegiales vs Tristan Suarez head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Colegiales wins 3Draws 3Tristan Suarez wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-23Tristan SuarezColegialesPrimera Nacional0-0
2025-09-14Tristan SuarezColegialesPrimera Nacional2-2
2025-05-10ColegialesTristan SuarezPrimera Nacional1-0
2020-03-01ColegialesTristan SuarezPrimera B Metropolitana1-0
2019-09-13Tristan SuarezColegialesPrimera B Metropolitana3-1
2019-04-28ColegialesTristan SuarezPrimera B Metropolitana3-1
2018-11-17Tristan SuarezColegialesPrimera B Metropolitana1-1
2018-02-25Tristan SuarezColegialesPrimera B Metropolitana2-0
2017-09-30ColegialesTristan SuarezPrimera B Metropolitana0-1
2017-06-26Tristan SuarezColegialesPrimera B Metropolitana0-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Colegiales vs Tristan Suarez odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 35.9%, draw 35.1%, away 29.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.52 2.52 3.22
Bet365 2.55 2.55 3.40
BetVictor 2.55 2.75 3.10
Betano 2.62 2.57 3.25
Betfair 2.45 2.75 3.00
Dafabet 2.55 2.70 3.20
Marathonbet 2.50 2.52 3.12
Pinnacle 2.72 2.66 3.27
SBO 2.38 2.64 2.85
William Hill 2.62 2.50 3.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.55 ▼ -0.12
X 2.60 ▲ +0.10
2 3.16 ▲ +0.06

12 snapshots recorded, from .