Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 33
Almagro
vs
Chacarita Juniors
2 – 1 Full time
| 14′ | J. Marchioni | ||
| 22′ | A. Dominguez | ||
| 39′ | B. NegroM. Cortave | ||
| 61′ | F. BustamanteJ. Bustos | ||
| 61′ | T. MaciesJ. Orlando | ||
| 68′ | M. CueroM. Sanabria | ||
| 72′ | N. ChavesT. Migliore | ||
| 73′ | S. Acosta | ||
| 74′ | J. Bustos | ||
| 83′ | M. MelendezF. Cristaldo | ||
| 83′ | S. AcostaL. Alfonzo | ||
| 83′ | A. CuelloF. Facello | ||
| 84′ | F. De La VegaP. Blanco | ||
| 84′ | E. SilcanJ. Flores | ||
| 89′ | T. Perez | ||
| 90′ | A. Dominguez |
Almagro
37%
Draw
33%
Chacarita Juniors
30%
Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors
| Probability | Almagro | Draw | Chacarita Juniors |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.4% | 32.9% | 24.7% |
| Market | 35.3% | 32.9% | 31.8% |
| Final | 37.1% | 32.9% | 30.0% |
| Edge | +1.8% | -0.0% | -1.8% |
Why Almagro
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.17 vs 0.83.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
85%
2+ goals
61%
3+ goals
32%
No goals
15%
Almagro and Chacarita Juniors expected goals
Almagro
1.17
Chacarita Juniors
0.83
Total expected goals: 2.00
Almagro and Chacarita Juniors attack and defence ratings
Almagro
Attack
1.06 +6%
Defence
1.34 +34%
Chacarita Juniors
Attack
0.87 -13%
Defence
0.96 -4%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors: result vs prediction
Almagro 2 – 1 Chacarita Juniors
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 33 fixtures
- Colegiales v Tristan Suarez — match page
- Quilmes vs Agropecuario — team news & stats
- Midland vs Atletico DE Rafaela — team news & stats
- Deportivo Madryn vs Chaco For Ever — team news & stats
- Atlanta v San Martin Tucuman — match page
- Defensores De Belgrano v Acassuso — match page
- CA Estudiantes vs Deportivo Moron
- Almirante Brown vs San Miguel
Before and after this match
Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Almagro | 37.1% | 2.70 | +1.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Almagro | 37.1% |
| Draw | 32.9% | |
| Chacarita Juniors | 30.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 67.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.2% |
| No | 59.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Almagro win | 18.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.6% | |
| Loss | 57.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 14.8% |
| 1-0 | 14.5% | |
| 1-1 | 14.5% |
Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors stats
Almagro and Chacarita Juniors recent form
| Almagro |
WLLDLW |
| Chacarita Juniors |
WLWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Almagro and Chacarita Juniors going into this match
Almagro record
- They have won 10 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 32 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
Chacarita Juniors record
- They have won 9 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.1 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 16 of 32 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4Almagro wins
1Draws
5Chacarita Juniors wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Chacarita Juniors | Almagro | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2022-04-02 | Almagro | Chacarita Juniors | Primera Nacional | 1-3 |
| 2021-01-12 | Almagro | Chacarita Juniors | Primera Nacional | 0-2 |
| 2020-03-17 | Chacarita Juniors | Almagro | Primera Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2019-09-21 | Almagro | Chacarita Juniors | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2018-08-28 | Almagro | Chacarita Juniors | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2017-06-03 | Chacarita Juniors | Almagro | Primera Nacional | 3-0 |
| 2016-11-08 | Almagro | Chacarita Juniors | Primera Nacional | 3-0 |
| 2014-05-03 | Almagro | Chacarita Juniors | Primera B Metropolitana | 2-1 |
| 2013-11-08 | Chacarita Juniors | Almagro | Primera B Metropolitana | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.3%, draw 32.9%, away 31.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.48 | 2.74 | 2.96 |
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 2.80 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.60 | 2.88 | 2.90 |
| Betano | 2.65 | 2.80 | 2.90 |
| Betfair | 2.45 | 2.80 | 2.88 |
| Dafabet | 2.65 | 2.90 | 2.90 |
| Marathonbet | 2.56 | 2.73 | 2.77 |
| Pinnacle | 2.78 | 2.91 | 2.89 |
| SBO | 2.44 | 2.69 | 2.71 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 2.70 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.61 ▲ +0.13
X
2.80 ▼ -0.01
2
2.90 ▼ -0.10
12 snapshots recorded, from .