Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 33
Quilmes
vs
Agropecuario
0 – 1 Full time
| 7′ | J. Vega | ||
| 21′ | S. GallucciN. Pereyra | ||
| 41′ | U. VeraM. Fernandez | ||
| 46′ | A. OrtegaS. Rodriguez | ||
| 46′ | N. ColazoA. Lavezzi | ||
| 58′ | A. SpetaleG. Vazquez | ||
| 64′ | A. Aguirre | ||
| 67′ | D. Ruiz DiazR. Castro | ||
| 72′ | G. VegaR. Martinez | ||
| 77′ | T. LecandaD. Actis | ||
| 77′ | A. GagliardiE. Aguirre | ||
| 77′ | R. MosqueiraO. Belinetz | ||
| 78′ | A. Bolivar |
Quilmes
50%
Draw
30%
Agropecuario
19%
Quilmes vs Agropecuario overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Quilmes vs Agropecuario
| Probability | Quilmes | Draw | Agropecuario |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.6% | 35.4% | 19.0% |
| Market | 51.7% | 28.7% | 19.6% |
| Final | 50.1% | 30.4% | 19.5% |
| Edge | -1.5% | +1.7% | -0.2% |
Why Quilmes
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.07 vs 0.59.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
80%
2+ goals
51%
3+ goals
23%
No goals
20%
Quilmes and Agropecuario expected goals
Quilmes
1.07
Agropecuario
0.59
Total expected goals: 1.66
Quilmes and Agropecuario attack and defence ratings
Quilmes
Attack
0.96 -4%
Defence
0.98 -2%
Agropecuario
Attack
0.85 -15%
Defence
0.98 -2%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Quilmes vs Agropecuario: result vs prediction
Quilmes 0 – 1 Agropecuario
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 33 fixtures
- Colegiales v Tristan Suarez — match page
- Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors
- Midland vs Atletico DE Rafaela — team news & stats
- Deportivo Madryn vs Chaco For Ever — team news & stats
- Atlanta v San Martin Tucuman — match page
- Defensores De Belgrano v Acassuso — match page
- CA Estudiantes vs Deportivo Moron
- Almirante Brown vs San Miguel
Before and after this match
Quilmes vs Agropecuario markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Quilmes | 50.1% | 1.99 | -1.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Quilmes | 50.1% |
| Draw | 30.4% | |
| Agropecuario | 19.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 23.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 76.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 30.6% |
| No | 69.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Quilmes win | 19.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.2% | |
| Loss | 54.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 20.1% |
| 1-0 | 19.1% | |
| 1-1 | 13.2% |
Quilmes vs Agropecuario stats
Quilmes and Agropecuario recent form
| Quilmes |
DWLWLL |
| Agropecuario |
DLWLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Quilmes and Agropecuario going into this match
Quilmes record
- They have won 10 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 17 of 32 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Agropecuario record
- They have won 9 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.1 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 15 of 32 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 8 penalties (62%).
Quilmes vs Agropecuario head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
2Quilmes wins
5Draws
2Agropecuario wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Agropecuario | Quilmes | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2024-08-20 | Quilmes | Agropecuario | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2024-03-29 | Agropecuario | Quilmes | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2022-03-23 | Quilmes | Agropecuario | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2021-08-28 | Agropecuario | Quilmes | Primera Nacional | 3-1 |
| 2021-04-19 | Quilmes | Agropecuario | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2021-01-18 | Agropecuario | Quilmes | Primera Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2018-10-30 | Quilmes | Agropecuario | Primera Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2018-02-06 | Agropecuario | Quilmes | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Quilmes vs Agropecuario odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 51.7%, draw 28.7%, away 19.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.72 | 3.22 | 4.67 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.25 | 4.75 |
| Betano | 1.78 | 3.20 | 4.85 |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 3.25 | 4.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.82 | 3.30 | 4.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.70 | 3.22 | 4.55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.83 | 3.31 | 4.87 |
| SBO | 1.73 | 3.02 | 4.17 |
| William Hill | 1.80 | 3.00 | 4.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.79 ▲ +0.13
X
3.22 ▼ -0.18
2
4.71 ▼ -0.64
12 snapshots recorded, from .