Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 32
Tristan Suarez
vs
Quilmes
0 – 0 Full time
| 46′ | S. RamirezG. Banuera | ||
| 53′ | M. Enrique | ||
| 54′ | M. EnriqueN. Sanchez | ||
| 59′ | R. ConechnyA. Gallo | ||
| 69′ | M. FernandezR. Martinez | ||
| 74′ | A. Kippes | ||
| 78′ | L. Romeo | ||
| 80′ | A. SpetaleP. Bonacci | ||
| 80′ | U. VeraRodriguez | ||
| 81′ | B. AguilarM. Olguin | ||
| 81′ | D. BeckerA. Berrondo | ||
| 88′ | A. BatistaJ. Yangali | ||
| 90′ | N. Fernandez |
Tristan Suarez
47%
Draw
33%
Quilmes
20%
Tristan Suarez vs Quilmes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tristan Suarez vs Quilmes
| Probability | Tristan Suarez | Draw | Quilmes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.0% | 29.9% | 9.1% |
| Market | 42.8% | 33.7% | 23.5% |
| Final | 47.4% | 32.7% | 19.9% |
| Edge | +18.2% | -3.8% | -14.4% |
Why Tristan Suarez
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.34 vs 0.36.
- The market prices Tristan Suarez below the model: +18.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
81%
2+ goals
52%
3+ goals
25%
No goals
19%
Tristan Suarez and Quilmes expected goals
Tristan Suarez
1.34
Quilmes
0.36
Total expected goals: 1.71
Tristan Suarez and Quilmes attack and defence ratings
Tristan Suarez
Attack
1.10 +10%
Defence
0.49 -51%
Quilmes
Attack
1.06 +6%
Defence
1.07 +7%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Tristan Suarez vs Quilmes: result vs prediction
Tristan Suarez 0 – 0 Quilmes
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 32 fixtures
- Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Madryn — team news & stats
- Colon Santa Fe vs CA Estudiantes — team news & stats
- Temperley vs Gimnasia Jujuy
- Deportivo Moron v All Boys — match page
- Acassuso vs Ciudad de Bolívar
- San Miguel vs Atletico Mitre — team news & stats
- Agropecuario vs Midland — team news & stats
- Chacarita Juniors v Patronato — match page
Before and after this match
Tristan Suarez vs Quilmes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tristan Suarez | 47.4% | 2.11 | +18.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.0% | 2.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tristan Suarez | 47.4% |
| Draw | 32.7% | |
| Quilmes | 19.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 24.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 75.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 23.5% |
| No | 76.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tristan Suarez win | 31.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 29.9% | |
| Loss | 39.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 23.5% |
| 0-0 | 19.0% | |
| 2-0 | 16.4% |
Tristan Suarez vs Quilmes stats
Tristan Suarez and Quilmes recent form
| Tristan Suarez |
WDDDWL |
| Quilmes |
WLWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tristan Suarez and Quilmes going into this match
Tristan Suarez record
- They have won 15 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 21 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Quilmes record
- They have won 10 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 16 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Tristan Suarez vs Quilmes head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
3Tristan Suarez wins
3Draws
2Quilmes wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Quilmes | Tristan Suarez | Primera Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Quilmes | Tristan Suarez | Primera Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2025-05-31 | Tristan Suarez | Quilmes | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2024-09-01 | Quilmes | Tristan Suarez | Primera Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2024-04-14 | Tristan Suarez | Quilmes | Primera Nacional | 1-3 |
| 2023-09-30 | Quilmes | Tristan Suarez | Primera Nacional | 5-1 |
| 2023-05-21 | Tristan Suarez | Quilmes | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2022-03-28 | Tristan Suarez | Quilmes | Primera Nacional | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Tristan Suarez vs Quilmes odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.8%, draw 33.7%, away 23.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.14 | 3.10 | 3.84 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 2.90 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 2.25 | 2.62 | 3.95 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 2.75 | 3.75 |
| Marathonbet | 2.14 | 2.47 | 4.05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.19 | 2.62 | 4.68 |
| SBO | 2.05 | 2.72 | 3.42 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 2.60 | 3.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.14 ▼ -0.06
X
2.72 ▲ +0.17
2
3.90 ▼ -0.05
10 snapshots recorded, from .